NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	3.7 [1089]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +6.0%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.0 [1291]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -12.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.06	10	65%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0.06	8	67%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	17	51%	0.04	6	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.02	5	-0.10	10	60%	-0.02
Mike Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	6	21%	-0.06	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	6	84%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	87%	0.06	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	-0.13	15	47%	0.10	7	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Mario Kasun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	20	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	13	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.8	27.2	15.8	28.0	1.8	38.2	143.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.1%

ORL +4.8%

ORL +0.2%

ORL +17.4%

MEM -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.5	95.8	100.0	104.0
season	16.4	14.3		103.7	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	16.6	14.8	15.0	15.7
ORL	12.5	14.7	14.0	17.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	3	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-6	7	13.7	15.7	-2.06	9.5	14.6	-5.11
Lorenzen Wright	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	15.7	15.6	0.05	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Stromile Swift	56	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-11	17	15.1	16.4	-1.27	15.5	13.1	2.36
Earl Watson	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-6	7	15.4	16.1	-0.78	16.1	12.0	4.14
James Posey	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-4	3	15.7	15.6	0.02	14.5	14.5	0.00
Mike Miller	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-7	9	15.2	17.0	-1.84	14.5	14.5	0.06
Shane Battier	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	8	-21	16.0	15.2	0.81	13.3	15.9	-2.66
Pau Gasol	77	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-5	5	16.0	14.2	1.85	15.1	11.7	3.38
Bonzi Wells	63	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	12	-29	16.3	14.5	1.80	13.0	17.5	-4.50

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	76	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-7	19	14.5	14.3	0.19	16.2	13.8	2.44
Steve Francis	80	80	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-6	17	14.6	14.2	0.38	16.0	14.0	1.98
Grant Hill	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-5	15	13.7	17.5	-3.87	15.7	15.4	0.37
Cuttino Mobley	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	1	3	14.3	15.2	-0.94	15.8	15.1	0.73
Dwight Howard	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	6	-7	15.2	13.0	2.20	16.0	14.8	1.24
DeShawn Stevenson	28	26	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	1	3	16.4	13.7	2.72	14.8	16.0	-1.12
Hedo Turkoglu	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	8	-11	13.7	14.9	-1.27	14.9	16.1	-1.16
Mario Kasun	22	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	9	-13	13.5	14.8	-1.24	13.7	16.2	-2.50
Tony Battie	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	5	-5	13.8	14.5	-0.74	17.2	15.6	1.62
Jameer Nelson	17	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	10	-15	14.2	14.6	-0.39	14.1	16.0	-1.92
Stacey Augmon	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	8	-11	24.3	14.2	10.15	15.0	15.7	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 84, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAC 86, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NOK 79, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%