NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	86		Excitement	3.4 [1071]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +3.4%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.0 [1256]		LVP	Tariq Abdul-Wahad (SAC): -11.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	3	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	48%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Billy Owens	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	13	46%	-0.00	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	15	39%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	9	54%	-0.02	5	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	18	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	57.2	1.8	24.7	15.0	25.7	2.0	27.2	153.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.8%

UTA +8.1%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +7.5%

SAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	14.2	15.6	91.5	105.3	102.5
season	15.2	15.9		98.5	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		102.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.7	18.6	15.7	15.0	16.4
UTA	14.0	14.8	12.5	15.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	22	23	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-20	27	14.4	17.1	-2.65	18.2	12.9	5.26
Olden Polynice	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-12	11	15.2	16.6	-1.36	16.0	14.0	2.04
Lawrence Funderburke	32	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-18	23	14.7	17.3	-2.65	16.5	13.0	3.50
Mark Hendrickson	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-11	9	14.1	17.3	-3.16	14.9	13.9	0.98
Michael Stewart	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-13	13	16.2	16.6	-0.44	14.4	14.1	0.30
Chris Robinson	15	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-7	1	20.7	15.6	5.11	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Otis Thorpe	38	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-1	-11	17.1	16.0	1.08	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	77	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-8	3	15.6	20.0	-4.35	14.5	12.9	1.52
Corliss Williamson	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-2	-9	17.3	14.1	3.16	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Billy Owens	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	5	-23	17.3	14.7	2.65	13.0	16.5	-3.50
Anthony Johnson	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	9	-31	17.0	14.4	2.59	12.8	19.0	-6.24

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	64	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	-4	21	13.6	15.6	-2.00	16.7	15.8	0.90
John Stockton	45	45	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	-2	17	13.5	14.9	-1.37	19.4	13.8	5.60
Adam Keefe	48	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	4	5	13.5	15.0	-1.52	16.2	16.7	-0.57
Jeff Hornacek	53	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	1	11	13.2	15.6	-2.41	16.7	16.1	0.66
Shandon Anderson	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	12	-11	15.6	13.2	2.41	16.1	16.7	-0.66
Bryon Russell	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	5	3	15.2	13.4	1.76	18.0	15.3	2.77
Antoine Carr	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	11	-9	15.4	13.7	1.63	16.7	16.3	0.38
Greg Foster	35	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	7	-1	13.3	14.8	-1.51	17.4	15.9	1.49
Chris Morris	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	13	-13	15.4	13.4	1.98	16.7	16.2	0.46
Howard Eisley	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	11	-9	15.0	13.5	1.47	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Greg Ostertag	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	16	-19	14.0	14.3	-0.34	12.3	18.3	-5.97
Jacque Vaughn	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	13.8	14.2	-0.39	6.8	17.1	-10.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 84, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MEM 91, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	96.2%
ORL 94, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%