NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	5.5 [744]		MVP	James Jones (IND): +17.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	103		Comeback	2.1 [858]		LVP	Eddie Gill (IND): -10.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.25	0.00	0.08	14	90%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.01	-0.04	17	58%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
David Harrison	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
John Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	11	47%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	13	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Gill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	19	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	68%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	76%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	64%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.8	33.2	15.7	27.1	2.5	34.2	139.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +41.7%

SEA +9.4%

SEA +21.8%

IND -19.9%

IND -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	NBA	IND	SEA	NBA
this game	18.2	16.1	15.5	113.1	122.6	104.0
season	16.8	16.5		101.9	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.5		107.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.5	21.1	18.2	16.5	18.2
SEA	16.8	17.9	16.9	13.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	46	47	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.23	14	-22	36	19.3	16.8	2.56	16.7	15.3	1.42
Tremaine Fowlkes	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	16.3	18.3	-1.97	10.5	16.6	-6.05
John Edwards	4	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-7	6	18.0	18.2	-0.18	11.0	16.3	-5.31
James Jones	75	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-9	10	18.7	13.9	4.79	16.3	14.4	1.93
Britton Johnsen	24	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	3	-14	18.2	18.1	0.12	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Fred Jones	79	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	18.1	19.0	-0.89	16.3	13.5	2.82
Austin Croshere	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	0	-8	17.8	21.2	-3.44	16.3	15.0	1.27
Jamaal Tinsley	75	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	2	-12	17.8	20.9	-3.05	16.4	14.0	2.37
Eddie Gill	37	38	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.05	-19	11	-30	17.5	18.7	-1.12	15.4	16.7	-1.37

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	58	56	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-8	24	15.5	17.5	-1.94	17.2	20.1	-2.96
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-5	18	15.3	17.1	-1.82	17.5	19.1	-1.56
Ray Allen	71	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-1	10	16.0	16.8	-0.77	18.1	18.4	-0.26
Nick Collison	29	29	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-3	14	16.5	15.9	0.56	18.1	18.2	-0.10
Danny Fortson	33	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	2	4	14.8	16.9	-2.09	19.1	17.6	1.47
Rashard Lewis	74	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	8	-8	16.5	13.1	3.43	17.8	20.3	-2.53
Luke Ridnour	56	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	7	-6	16.3	15.8	0.50	18.8	16.9	1.89
Reggie Evans	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	17.1	15.5	1.60	19.4	17.4	1.95
Jerome James	21	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.21	-12	20	-32	18.1	15.5	2.63	18.9	17.9	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 75, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.3%
SAC 100, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
BKN 102, ATL 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	94.0%