NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	102		Excitement	5.7 [674]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +20.1%
Atlanta Hawks	113		Comeback	1.8 [1183]		LVP	Darius Morris (BKN): -15.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	19	63%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Cory Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.03	-0.02	10	85%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.06	0.02	13	77%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.01	0.04	9	82%	0.22	3	-0.08	16	94%	0.06
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	72%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	16	41%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	11%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.5	31.2	16.4	27.7	3.5	27.4	134.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.7%

ATL +6.8%

ATL +15.6%

BKN -4.2%

BKN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ATL	NBA	BKN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.1	108.5	122.8	104.2
season	15.3	14.9		102.9	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.9	13.7	14.8	17.0	15.2
ATL	14.8	15.8	15.2	17.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	69	71	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-16	21	15.5	14.6	0.86	15.6	16.1	-0.46
Kevin Garnett	38	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-9	7	15.6	15.0	0.53	15.1	16.2	-1.04
Mason Plumlee	63	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-8	5	13.7	18.3	-4.56	16.5	14.3	2.19
Darius Morris	17	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	17.5	14.7	2.80	16.2	15.6	0.53
Bojan Bogdanovic	24	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-7	3	17.5	14.5	3.04	16.4	15.5	0.85
Cory Jefferson	27	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-6	1	18.0	14.1	3.88	14.3	16.4	-2.09
Sergey Karasev	21	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	0	-11	13.6	15.7	-2.08	15.8	15.7	0.05
Jarrett Jack	77	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-6	1	14.7	17.5	-2.80	15.6	16.2	-0.53
Joe Johnson	74	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	1	-13	14.7	17.0	-2.31	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Brook Lopez	60	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	1	-13	15.4	15.0	0.37	16.1	15.2	0.87

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pero Antic	30	29	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-4	19	14.4	16.4	-1.99	15.9	15.0	0.91
Paul Millsap	66	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	4	3	16.0	15.0	1.08	14.4	17.6	-3.15
Kent Bazemore	26	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	2	7	15.7	15.8	-0.12	15.1	15.3	-0.22
DeMarre Carroll	56	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	5	1	15.7	15.7	0.03	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Thabo Sefolosha	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	2	7	15.5	15.8	-0.29	16.9	14.4	2.54
Dennis Schroder	33	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	3	5	14.5	16.4	-1.86	17.6	14.0	3.58
Mike Scott	24	24	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	2	7	14.3	16.2	-1.96	17.3	14.5	2.76
Jeff Teague	59	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	8	-5	16.4	14.5	1.86	14.0	17.6	-3.58
Kyle Korver	71	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	13	-15	15.8	15.4	0.46	14.8	16.5	-1.64
Al Horford	64	65	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	20	-29	16.6	13.8	2.81	15.1	15.6	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
SAC 100, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
NOH 96, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%