NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	5.2 [760]		MVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): +20.0%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	1.4 [781]		LVP	Marcus Thornton (NOH): -12.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	11	77%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
David West	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	16	63%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Bobby Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.01	0.08	7	64%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	15	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.07	-0.03	13	67%	0.23	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.04	0.07	14	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	5	108%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	12	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ime Udoka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	15	44%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	30.2	15.0	25.8	2.7	26.6	126.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.9%

NOH -3.9%

NOH -6.9%

SAC +14.8%

NOH -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAC	NBA	NOH	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.5	15.3	103.2	120.4	106.0
season	15.5	15.2		106.0	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.5	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.0	16.5	14.0	15.3	15.4
SAC	16.0	14.2	14.8	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	16	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-12	8	15.2	15.5	-0.29	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Bobby Brown	18	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-11	6	14.7	15.6	-0.95	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Emeka Okafor	62	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-13	10	14.9	16.5	-1.53	15.6	15.4	0.18
Julian Wright	13	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-9	2	15.6	15.4	0.22	14.7	15.7	-0.90
Devin Brown	60	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-16	16	15.8	14.8	0.95	15.7	15.3	0.45
Darren Collison	60	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-8	0	14.4	17.2	-2.81	16.5	13.6	2.92
James Posey	80	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-7	-2	15.4	15.6	-0.22	15.7	14.7	0.90
Darius Songaila	25	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	18.4	14.4	4.01	14.9	15.8	-0.84
David West	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-4	-8	15.5	15.2	0.29	15.6	15.0	0.65
Marcus Thornton	54	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	4	-24	15.6	15.1	0.52	14.6	16.9	-2.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.00	18	-2	20	15.8	14.3	1.48	15.2	16.5	-1.24
Sergio Rodriguez	47	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-4	24	15.4	15.7	-0.31	15.9	15.0	0.97
Omri Casspi	59	57	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-3	22	15.0	16.5	-1.56	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Jon Brockman	31	30	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-3	22	15.2	15.7	-0.52	18.0	14.2	3.79
Jason Thompson	87	88	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	3	10	15.9	10.8	5.03	15.4	15.4	0.03
Beno Udrih	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	7	2	14.4	16.9	-2.46	15.8	15.0	0.77
Andres Nocioni	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	16	-16	15.3	15.7	-0.46	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Ime Udoka	1	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	17	-18	12.0	15.6	-3.58	8.5	15.6	-7.08
Donte Greene	36	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	20	-24	16.2	15.1	1.03	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Kenny Thomas	37	38	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.16	-13	29	-42	16.9	14.6	2.34	14.3	16.2	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
BKN 102, ATL 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	94.1%
UTA 93, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%