NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	6.4 [575]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +13.6%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	1.4 [983]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -22.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.02	16	66%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	10	23%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	6	0%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.00	10	28%	-0.14	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	15	54%	0.08	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	17	49%	0.04	4	-0.10	13	85%	0.07
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	4	42%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	1	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	30.0	16.4	24.6	2.3	29.6	129.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +9.5%

DAL +16.2%

DAL +31.4%

POR -11.4%

DAL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.7	15.5	91.2	98.9	104.0
season	15.8	14.9		101.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.4	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.1	14.8	17.2	15.5	16.6
DAL	13.6	15.8	14.8	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-12	15	15.0	17.7	-2.66	13.6	15.4	-1.78
Darius Miles	48	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-4	-1	15.5	17.8	-2.34	14.3	15.2	-0.96
Joel Przybilla	13	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	16.0	16.7	-0.71	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Derek Anderson	64	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-11	13	16.7	16.4	0.33	15.5	13.0	2.51
Nick Van Exel	43	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	15.0	18.1	-3.09	13.0	16.3	-3.25
Theo Ratliff	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	17.5	15.2	2.24	16.5	12.1	4.38
Damon Stoudamire	66	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	17.0	15.5	1.55	15.1	13.9	1.22
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	62	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	1	-11	17.3	15.1	2.20	13.9	16.6	-2.75
Zach Randolph	67	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	0	-9	17.5	14.0	3.54	15.2	13.3	1.92

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	62	59	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-9	27	14.5	15.1	-0.56	16.9	16.0	0.88
Josh Howard	87	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-8	25	14.7	15.2	-0.48	17.1	9.7	7.43
Dirk Nowitzki	82	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-2	13	14.8	14.2	0.61	16.7	16.1	0.58
Erick Dampier	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	1	7	16.3	12.4	3.93	17.5	15.2	2.29
Marquis Daniels	71	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	4	1	15.2	13.0	2.19	16.4	17.3	-0.94
Alan Henderson	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	6	-3	10.9	15.6	-4.68	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Jerry Stackhouse	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	11	-13	13.1	15.5	-2.34	15.5	17.1	-1.60
Shawn Bradley	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	9	-9	14.3	14.8	-0.51	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Calvin Booth	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	15	-21	14.3	14.8	-0.54	15.3	16.8	-1.56
Devin Harris	31	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	18	-27	15.1	14.5	0.56	16.0	16.9	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
DET 83, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
BOS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%