NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	8.1 [263]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +79.9%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	32.6 [23]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (NYK): -14.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.80	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.8	0.07	0.72	-0.01	18	53%	0.80	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	20	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.08	-0.01	16	47%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Jerome Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	11	43%	-0.09	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.19	-0.00	8	83%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	19	55%	0.18	3	-0.13	6	50%	-0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	18	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	9	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.4	29.2	19.4	25.3	2.8	34.3	138.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.5%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +22.1%

HOU -2.5%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.5	104.5	101.1	104.0
season	15.8	16.0		103.9	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.3		100.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.2	18.6	15.6	13.7	16.1
HOU	15.5	16.6	15.7	15.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	44	46	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.55	6	-5	11	14.9	17.4	-2.54	16.9	14.8	2.09
Nazr Mohammed	84	85	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.54	6	-5	11	16.1	17.0	-0.90	15.8	16.2	-0.33
Jamal Crawford	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.50	0	1	-1	16.8	13.4	3.38	15.6	16.8	-1.22
Stephon Marbury	81	83	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	1	-1	16.0	18.0	-2.04	15.5	19.6	-4.13
Michael Sweetney	19	19	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-6	13	16.5	16.0	0.48	17.7	15.4	2.31
Kurt Thomas	75	77	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.41	-11	12	-23	16.1	16.4	-0.25	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Moochie Norris	8	9	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	0	1	18.0	16.0	2.04	18.1	15.6	2.50
Jerome Williams	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	1	-1	0.0	16.1	-16.15	6.0	16.0	-9.97
Trevor Ariza	37	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.16	3	-2	5	15.8	16.4	-0.62	16.7	15.3	1.42
Tim Thomas	24	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	8	-15	17.2	15.8	1.45	13.7	16.6	-2.92

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	43	42	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.02	11	-12	23	14.1	17.4	-3.26	16.8	15.5	1.30
Tyronn Lue	47	47	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.33	-9	8	-17	17.8	13.8	3.95	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Juwan Howard	40	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.18	-10	9	-19	18.0	14.2	3.82	14.8	17.1	-2.28
Dikembe Mutombo	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	6	-13	18.6	14.7	3.89	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Jim Jackson	84	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.47	7	-8	15	15.6	19.0	-3.40	16.0	18.0	-2.01
Tracy McGrady	78	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.48	6	-7	13	15.4	18.8	-3.49	16.2	15.7	0.58
Yao Ming	64	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.51	6	-7	13	14.7	18.6	-3.89	16.4	15.7	0.69
Maurice Taylor	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.65	9	-10	19	14.2	18.0	-3.82	17.1	14.8	2.28
Bostjan Nachbar	20	22	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	14	-29	18.9	15.0	3.90	16.4	16.1	0.35
Ryan Bowen	1	0	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.82	-3	2	-5	0.0	16.0	-16.03	0.0	16.1	-16.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.82,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.92,0	92.1%
POR 101, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.58,0	91.1%
DAL 96, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.85,0	90.9%