NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	5.4 [760]		MVP	Marc Jackson (PHI): +7.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	1.8 [830]		LVP	Steve Francis (ORL): -14.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	40%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Pat Garrity	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	15	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Battie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Grant Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.02	-0.07	17	45%	0.07	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Mario Kasun	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.06	11	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	15	37%	-0.09	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	69%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	25	54%	0.04	7	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	12	19%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	26.4	15.6	24.2	1.6	32.3	127.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.3%

ORL -7.8%

ORL -0.6%

PHI +16.1%

PHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.2	15.5	83.7	92.3	104.0
season	14.3	13.9		102.9	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.5	13.5	15.1	12.1	14.5
PHI	12.0	13.7	13.1	14.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	48	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-2	-5	15.9	13.2	2.66	13.1	13.3	-0.21
Dwight Howard	61	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	15.1	13.5	1.62	13.4	13.0	0.37
Mario Kasun	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-12	15	13.0	14.9	-1.93	12.4	13.5	-1.02
Jameer Nelson	38	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-15	21	12.3	15.7	-3.34	13.5	13.1	0.37
Grant Hill	80	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-6	3	14.2	15.4	-1.24	13.5	12.5	1.03
Hedo Turkoglu	61	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-8	7	13.5	15.8	-2.31	13.6	12.6	0.99
Steve Francis	82	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	3	-15	15.1	12.1	2.95	12.8	15.0	-2.19
DeShawn Stevenson	62	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	6	-21	15.5	12.9	2.61	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Pat Garrity	65	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.13	-14	5	-19	14.0	15.2	-1.23	13.5	12.8	0.62

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	90	89	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-5	19	13.3	12.7	0.60	14.6	13.8	0.77
Corliss Williamson	46	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-5	19	12.2	14.1	-1.86	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Willie Green	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	2	5	13.0	13.4	-0.35	16.2	13.3	2.90
Marc Jackson	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	1	7	12.7	14.1	-1.41	14.5	14.4	0.06
John Salmons	55	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	6	-3	13.7	12.7	0.94	12.9	16.1	-3.16
Andre Iguodala	74	74	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	12.9	13.9	-0.99	14.5	14.4	0.04
Kyle Korver	44	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	7	-5	13.3	13.2	0.11	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Samuel Dalembert	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	8	-7	14.1	12.7	1.41	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Josh Davis	24	23	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	13	-17	14.9	12.7	2.14	11.2	15.4	-4.22
Kenny Thomas	34	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	10	-11	13.5	13.1	0.36	16.6	13.4	3.27
Kevin Ollie	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	12	-15	12.5	13.3	-0.78	15.3	14.4	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 88, NOH 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.87,0.89,0.81,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
PHI 102, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DET 79, OKC 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%