NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	79		Excitement	5.2 [762]		MVP	Mike James (DET): +26.4%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	2.2 [724]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -12.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	11	69%	0.16	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Lonny Baxter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	5	40%	0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	8	41%	-0.04	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	17	47%	-0.08	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	12	35%	-0.05	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.11	-0.04	12	87%	0.33	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	78%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.04	16	65%	0.12	6	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	25.7	15.6	25.4	2.7	27.5	125.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.3%

DET +4.4%

DET +5.5%

WAS -7.2%

DET +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	15.7	79.8	103.1	100.5
season	15.2	16.2		96.4	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.3		92.6	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	15.5	14.0	15.1	14.9
DET	14.4	13.3	14.9	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	19	18	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-25	28	16.3	14.5	1.71	12.4	14.8	-2.41
Lonny Baxter	30	29	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.13	-3	-19	16	15.6	14.6	1.03	13.2	14.8	-1.58
Brendan Haywood	42	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-20	18	14.3	15.3	-0.99	14.8	14.0	0.75
Steve Blake	75	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-14	6	14.9	14.7	0.17	15.1	11.7	3.39
Larry Hughes	60	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-18	14	14.3	15.7	-1.43	15.6	12.2	3.37
Juan Dixon	24	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.13	-14	-8	-6	14.7	14.9	-0.17	11.7	15.1	-3.39
Jarvis Hayes	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	0	-22	14.3	15.8	-1.45	15.1	13.1	2.05
Gilbert Arenas	57	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	-1	-20	15.6	13.9	1.69	12.7	16.4	-3.67
Etan Thomas	57	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	-2	-18	15.3	14.3	0.99	14.0	14.8	-0.75
Jared Jeffries	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.01	-19	-3	-16	14.6	15.6	-1.03	14.8	13.2	1.58

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	83	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	1	20	14.5	13.8	0.66	15.0	14.1	0.96
Mike James	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.12	22	0	22	13.6	16.0	-2.42	15.5	13.5	2.03
Tayshaun Prince	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	2	18	14.5	14.0	0.45	15.0	14.6	0.41
Mehmet Okur	44	47	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.21	21	1	20	12.6	15.8	-3.16	16.1	13.8	2.30
Ben Wallace	55	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	15	-8	15.1	13.3	1.80	14.9	14.8	0.11
Corliss Williamson	49	48	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	14	-6	13.6	15.2	-1.61	15.1	14.7	0.44
Elden Campbell	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	18	-14	16.3	13.4	2.98	13.4	15.6	-2.18
Darvin Ham	37	38	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.19	7	15	-8	14.2	14.4	-0.18	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Darko Milicic	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	18	-14	14.9	14.3	0.60	13.4	15.1	-1.74
Lindsey Hunter	36	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	26	-30	15.4	13.8	1.63	13.2	15.9	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 80, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
TOR 115, SEA 123	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.96,1	94.1%