inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 81 Excitement7.6 [297] MVPHedo Turkoglu (SAS): +11.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 86 Comeback1.7 [723] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -49.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.120.080.040.001370%0.192-0.071100%0.02
Devin Brown0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.001156%0.032-0.065100%0.02
Bruce Bowen-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.01450%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00714%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.16-0.01-0.041118%-0.083-0.0600%0.00
Tony Parker-0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18-0.11-0.060.011632%-0.141-0.03250%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.500,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27,-0.5-0.07-0.410.022350%-0.254-0.24633%-0.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.05-0.00567%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.02380%0.0100.00450%-0.03
Latrell Sprewell0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.022245%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.002055%0.043-0.09978%0.04
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.060.01650%-0.011-0.07250%-0.02
Michael Olowokandi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.0130%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.001142%-0.132-0.041191%0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.728.015.425.31.637.3132.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS -0.2%
MIN +33.2%
SAS -9.5%
MIN +23.8%
MIN +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game16.415.515.789.095.6100.5
season15.915.6100.1103.2
opponent16.115.898.492.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.915.919.415.916.4
MIN12.318.415.916.115.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry19180.09-0.590.680.003-81111.917.5-5.6314.715.7-1.00
Devin Brown1414-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-2-112.617.0-4.3814.115.7-1.57
Hedo Turkoglu6766-0.11-0.390.28-0.4010-152516.117.1-1.0516.412.93.48
Bruce Bowen7473-0.17-0.330.16-0.201-6717.610.96.6516.312.04.27
Rasho Nesterovic4242-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-116-1717.015.81.1613.816.9-3.06
Tim Duncan7069-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.340-5516.416.30.0916.213.03.22
Malik Rose5050-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.37-2-3117.714.82.9016.414.32.01
Tony Parker7574-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.21-83-1116.615.31.2615.216.7-1.56
Manu Ginobili4444-0.700.20-0.91-0.26-1510-2515.317.3-2.0413.317.5-4.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ervin Johnson55550.81-0.311.130.3715-102514.916.4-1.4816.915.61.32
Latrell Sprewell72730.62-0.120.750.2413-82114.917.7-2.8216.416.30.09
Sam Cassell72720.500.000.490.297-2915.515.30.1716.217.0-0.82
Kevin Garnett73730.490.000.490.268-31115.515.20.2916.914.32.59
Trenton Hassell72720.370.130.240.2832115.615.10.5116.615.41.24
Fred Hoiberg27270.190.31-0.120.1032115.115.6-0.5114.917.0-2.03
Mark Madsen19200.030.47-0.430.0014-316.015.30.6817.216.11.09
Michael Olowokandi2122-0.130.63-0.760.10-813-2116.715.11.5715.916.5-0.64
Wally Szczerbiak3941-0.390.89-1.280.11-1722-3916.314.81.4815.317.2-1.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.68,0.37,0.68,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 82, DET 870.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.37,0.67,0.85,193.8%
CHI 78, ATL 800.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.83,192.9%
SAS 82, UTA 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.58,191.3%