NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	78		Excitement	7.6 [280]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +6.1%
Atlanta Hawks	80		Comeback	1.8 [521]		LVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): -29.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	78%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Joe Kleine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	13	44%	0.04	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	12	42%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.1,-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	0.01	25	47%	-0.09	2	-0.15	7	71%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.16,-0.29	-0.05	-0.24	-0.00	1	50%	-0.14	2	-0.15	2	0%	-0.17

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.08	-0.03	12	57%	0.15	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.01	11	56%	-0.03	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	12	53%	0.00	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.10
Steven Smith	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	22	34%	-0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	25.4	16.0	25.2	2.5	34.5	129.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -12.9%

ATL +24.1%

ATL +5.4%

ATL +27.0%

ATL +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	17.0	15.6	88.6	88.9	102.5
season	16.2	16.1		105.8	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.8		101.5	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	13.7	17.7	14.1	15.3
ATL	13.5	17.7	16.6	20.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	8	8	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-9	16	10.5	15.8	-5.33	21.2	16.6	4.66
Joe Kleine	28	28	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.16	8	-10	18	13.3	16.3	-2.96	15.1	17.8	-2.70
Ron Harper	60	59	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-3	4	15.4	15.1	0.29	17.4	16.2	1.18
Dennis Rodman	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.14	-6	4	-10	16.2	14.7	1.51	17.2	16.9	0.28
Jason Caffey	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	5	-12	18.1	14.6	3.46	16.9	17.0	-0.13
Jud Buechler	35	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-6	10	13.5	16.6	-3.13	16.2	17.5	-1.25
Randy Brown	27	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	13	-28	17.7	14.3	3.36	15.3	17.8	-2.44
Steve Kerr	40	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.59	7	-9	16	14.4	16.1	-1.77	16.0	17.8	-1.79
Luc Longley	58	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	5	-12	16.4	13.2	3.20	18.1	14.8	3.30
Toni Kukoc	59	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.65	4	-6	10	14.7	16.7	-2.06	17.0	16.9	0.16
Michael Jordan	69	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	4	-10	15.7	14.1	1.64	17.5	15.1	2.43

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	83	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-5	12	16.6	21.7	-5.11	15.7	10.7	5.02
Steven Smith	77	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	17.7	12.9	4.77	15.6	14.1	1.51
Tyrone Corbin	74	73	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-4	10	16.5	19.2	-2.74	16.0	12.3	3.63
Dikembe Mutombo	77	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-3	8	18.1	10.6	7.46	15.9	12.6	3.29
Alan Henderson	53	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.43	-3	5	-8	15.9	18.6	-2.66	13.4	17.7	-4.32
Christian Laettner	37	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	-3	8	18.6	15.9	2.66	17.7	13.4	4.32
Greg Anderson	13	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	10.6	18.1	-7.46	12.6	15.9	-3.29
Chucky Brown	16	15	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	6	-10	19.2	16.5	2.74	12.3	16.0	-3.63
Ed Gray	20	20	-0.17	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	10	-18	16.0	17.3	-1.29	13.0	16.0	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.68,0.37,0.68,0.72,1	92.9%
GSW 96, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.72,0.85,0.84,1	92.9%
SEA 89, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.84,0.85,1	92.7%