NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	103		Excitement	10.5 [39]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (MIL): +36.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.8 [718]		LVP	Brevin Knight (MIL): -40.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.37	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.37	0.21	0.17	0.02	20	73%	0.37	0	0.00	4	100%	0.11
Toni Kukoc	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	17	47%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	8	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	14	37%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	9	40%	-0.14	2	-0.09	7	57%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.4,-0.4	-0.10	-0.32	-0.01	12	46%	-0.05	5	-0.35	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.08	0.00	16	84%	0.33	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.04
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.05,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.07	-0.03	17	52%	0.13	5	-0.11	8	100%	0.14
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,0.05,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.01	9	64%	0.19	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	0.2	28.3	16.5	21.3	2.5	32.8	1.8	14.8	142.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.2%

LAL +19.3%

MIL -6.5%

MIL -16.7%

LAL +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.7	96.3	99.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.4		103.6	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	14.5	15.9	16.6	14.6	15.4	15.4
LAL	11.6	14.7	15.4	17.3	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	77	76	0.51	-1.01	1.51	0.24	9	-10	19	15.1	16.0	-0.90	14.9	14.0	0.93
Desmond Mason	55	55	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.00	9	-10	19	15.0	15.7	-0.66	14.7	14.6	0.15
Erick Strickland	5	5	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-5	9	12.6	15.5	-2.89	17.6	14.5	3.11
Damon Jones	44	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.10	-4	3	-7	15.3	15.4	-0.10	14.7	14.6	0.18
Toni Kukoc	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.48	8	-9	17	15.6	15.1	0.53	16.1	12.9	3.17
Joe Smith	51	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	8	-17	15.1	15.6	-0.53	12.7	16.4	-3.72
Brevin Knight	62	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.57	3	-4	7	15.6	15.0	0.57	14.6	14.7	-0.18
Keith Van Horn	93	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	1	-3	15.5	14.1	1.48	15.1	11.6	3.54
Michael Redd	62	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.27	-13	12	-25	15.4	15.3	0.04	13.6	16.0	-2.39
Dan Gadzuric	30	28	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.63	-10	9	-19	16.0	15.1	0.90	14.5	14.7	-0.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	92	96	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-13	27	14.4	16.3	-1.91	15.6	12.9	2.73
Gary Payton	73	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-6	13	13.9	16.3	-2.36	15.5	14.9	0.59
Kobe Bryant	78	79	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.49	4	-3	7	14.1	16.2	-2.13	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Karl Malone	69	71	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.40	-2	3	-5	13.7	16.5	-2.83	15.4	15.3	0.03
Luke Walton	13	14	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-8	17	16.2	14.4	1.73	13.7	15.6	-1.89
Rick Fox	59	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	1	-1	13.6	15.9	-2.31	15.7	14.9	0.86
Devean George	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	5	-9	16.5	13.7	2.77	15.0	15.5	-0.57
Derek Fisher	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	4	-7	16.7	13.8	2.93	15.4	15.3	0.11
Kareem Rush	36	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	6	-11	15.6	14.1	1.44	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Slava Medvedenko	33	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	9	-17	16.4	13.8	2.56	15.7	15.2	0.43
Brian Cook	7	6	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	8	-15	15.3	14.6	0.69	10.5	15.6	-5.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	90.8%
DET 106, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.54,0.84,0.42,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.55,0.85,1	90.5%
NYK 90, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.74,1	90.1%