NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	115		Excitement	5.7 [671]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +29.5%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	1.4 [412]		LVP	Drew Gooden (ORL): -8.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.27	0.06	0.04	10	119%	0.32	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	21	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	80%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.03	0.05	13	72%	0.15	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	63%	0.02	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ansu Sesay	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	16	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	0.00	11	79%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	29	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	13	100%	0.06
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	62%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	23.5	15.6	26.2	2.4	28.5	124.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +62.9%

ORL -8.0%

ORL -5.4%

SEA +2.7%

ORL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ORL	NBA	SEA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.4	17.3	15.7	135.3	117.4	100.5
season	15.6	15.7		105.0	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.2	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.3	16.4	16.3	17.5	16.4
ORL	17.4	18.7	18.0	15.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	51	53	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.02	19	-5	24	16.4	16.4	0.03	17.3	17.2	0.16
Brent Barry	60	62	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.01	18	-4	22	16.1	17.0	-0.85	16.9	18.2	-1.29
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	1	12	16.8	15.2	1.62	17.1	17.8	-0.75
Jerome James	26	27	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	3	8	16.0	16.6	-0.52	19.9	16.1	3.86
Antonio Daniels	34	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	11	-8	16.5	16.4	0.12	17.4	17.2	0.19
Ray Allen	68	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	8	-2	16.3	16.6	-0.31	17.2	17.6	-0.46
Vitaly Potapenko	59	59	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	11	-8	16.6	16.0	0.52	16.1	19.9	-3.86
Reggie Evans	46	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	12	-10	15.5	17.5	-2.01	17.5	17.0	0.48
Ronald Murray	13	14	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	14	-14	18.8	16.0	2.80	18.2	17.1	1.12
Ansu Sesay	6	4	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	19	-24	16.5	16.4	0.11	20.0	17.1	2.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	18.0	17.3	0.74	20.5	16.3	4.20
DeShawn Stevenson	54	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-22	30	15.9	19.6	-3.74	15.6	17.8	-2.22
Steven Hunter	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-8	2	19.6	16.9	2.70	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Tyronn Lue	68	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-12	10	17.3	17.3	0.00	15.7	19.2	-3.54
Drew Gooden	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-11	8	17.0	17.5	-0.47	17.1	15.9	1.20
Britton Johnsen	14	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	-3	-8	20.9	16.6	4.27	18.8	16.0	2.80
Sean Rooks	12	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-4	-6	21.3	16.6	4.71	18.5	16.1	2.36
Juwan Howard	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-8	2	16.7	18.6	-1.92	15.8	17.8	-2.00
Andrew DeClercq	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-12	10	16.7	18.2	-1.53	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Reece Gaines	18	17	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-2	-10	17.3	17.3	-0.00	19.2	15.7	3.54
Keith Bogans	29	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	1	-16	18.7	16.6	2.13	18.4	15.4	2.92
Tracy McGrady	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-4	-6	17.1	18.7	-1.66	15.8	20.3	-4.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.34,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
SAS 104, DEN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
NYK 93, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%