NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	4.5 [944]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +12.1%
Detroit Pistons	81		Comeback	1.4 [459]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -19.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	13	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Miller	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Fred Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
John Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	2	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	3	73%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	18	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	13	68%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	9	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	90%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.04	0.02	12	41%	-0.11	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	32.4	17.7	25.8	1.8	34.2	141.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.5%

IND +20.6%

IND +4.1%

IND +2.7%

DET -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	18.5	17.9	15.5	119.0	102.5	104.0
season	16.8	16.7		101.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	16.4	20.8	21.6	18.5
DET	18.1	16.4	21.5	16.3	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	27	26	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	0	13	17.4	19.1	-1.76	16.6	18.6	-1.95
Jeff Foster	39	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-2	17	19.1	18.0	1.13	15.4	20.6	-5.22
Fred Jones	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	1	11	19.6	17.7	1.93	16.5	19.1	-2.67
James Jones	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	6	1	18.0	18.9	-0.89	14.7	19.7	-4.92
Stephen Jackson	55	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	10	-7	19.2	16.9	2.32	18.8	15.7	3.08
Eddie Gill	34	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	10	-7	18.0	18.9	-0.93	17.1	18.5	-1.36
Anthony Johnson	36	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	4	5	19.2	18.0	1.22	18.8	17.0	1.77
Reggie Miller	47	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	8	-3	17.1	20.6	-3.47	19.7	15.4	4.28
Austin Croshere	43	44	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	14	-15	18.6	18.4	0.16	19.9	15.4	4.48
Dale Davis	46	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	12	-11	18.8	18.1	0.76	19.2	16.2	3.02
John Edwards	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	15.7	18.6	-2.98	13.5	18.0	-4.54

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	10.2	18.4	-8.25	23.0	18.2	4.77
Darvin Ham	8	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-16	19	9.0	18.9	-9.93	23.8	18.1	5.74
Carlos Delfino	25	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-13	13	13.6	19.9	-6.38	18.6	18.5	0.17
Rasheed Wallace	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-8	3	18.9	16.5	2.42	18.6	18.5	0.05
Lindsey Hunter	43	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-2	-9	20.8	14.5	6.24	17.8	19.4	-1.68
Chauncey Billups	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	18.8	15.4	3.38	18.3	19.1	-0.76
Ben Wallace	63	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-5	-3	18.9	14.2	4.61	18.3	19.4	-1.12
Tayshaun Prince	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	0	-13	19.0	12.7	6.26	18.1	20.5	-2.39
Antonio McDyess	39	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	2	-17	16.6	19.2	-2.53	18.1	18.9	-0.77
Carlos Arroyo	39	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-2	-9	16.0	19.8	-3.85	19.6	17.4	2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIA 111, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DEN 108, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%