NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	111		Excitement	5.3 [752]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (MIA): +8.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	1.4 [1167]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.03	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	21	63%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willie Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Pinckney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0	100%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Askins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	9	60%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.04	14	40%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	5	57%	0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	7	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Adrian Caldwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Rex Walters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	15	44%	-0.05	1	-0.04	11	64%	-0.03
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	12	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.05	-0.02	13	29%	-0.17	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	27.4	15.4	23.6	1.7	25.8	119.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +49.9%

MIA +1.2%

PHI -2.7%

MIA +4.7%

PHI -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	15.7	15.6	112.1	83.8	104.4
season	15.8	14.7		103.1	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.3		108.4	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.8	12.5	13.9	13.3	13.4
PHI	16.2	15.2	17.4	14.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Mourning	54	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	13	2	12.9	13.8	-0.90	16.8	14.3	2.48
Jamal Mashburn	51	52	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.39	27	1	26	13.3	13.4	-0.12	16.2	15.3	0.88
John Crotty	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.34	25	3	22	12.4	14.4	-2.04	14.6	17.1	-2.52
Tim Hardaway	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	9	10	14.0	11.2	2.79	16.0	14.8	1.19
Voshon Lenard	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	19	-10	13.4	13.2	0.15	15.9	15.4	0.46
Ike Austin	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	17	-6	13.5	13.2	0.22	13.2	17.9	-4.67
P.J. Brown	66	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.17	11	17	-6	14.2	11.7	2.48	15.7	15.8	-0.04
Mark Strickland	14	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.20	9	19	-10	11.7	13.6	-1.91	15.7	15.7	-0.08
Ed Pinckney	26	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.23	10	18	-8	12.3	13.7	-1.42	16.7	15.4	1.38
Willie Anderson	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	23	-18	13.2	13.4	-0.19	16.4	15.5	0.91
Keith Askins	17	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	29	-30	14.4	13.1	1.28	17.2	15.5	1.73

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Caldwell	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-21	14	17.2	15.6	1.65	10.2	13.6	-3.38
Lucious Harris	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-21	14	17.2	15.6	1.65	10.9	13.6	-2.71
Michael Cage	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-25	22	11.5	16.1	-4.61	10.6	13.6	-2.97
Mark Davis	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-23	18	13.3	16.7	-3.42	11.5	14.1	-2.53
Derrick Coleman	60	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-16	4	16.7	14.2	2.57	14.5	11.4	3.11
Doug Overton	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.26	-16	-12	-4	16.3	15.5	0.81	12.1	13.9	-1.78
Don MacLean	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-23	18	16.7	15.0	1.70	13.8	13.1	0.71
Allen Iverson	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-16	4	15.5	16.3	-0.81	13.9	12.1	1.78
Rex Walters	42	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-19	10	17.6	14.4	3.23	13.2	13.4	-0.17
Scott Williams	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.40	-24	-4	-20	15.2	16.4	-1.26	13.1	13.6	-0.49
Jerry Stackhouse	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-12	-4	15.2	17.2	-1.92	13.9	11.7	2.24
Clar. Weatherspoon	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.30	-24	-4	-20	15.3	17.1	-1.80	13.4	13.2	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DEN 108, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIA 76, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%