NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	10.3 [47]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +20.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	3.9 [210]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -28.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.21	0.01	0.16	-0.03	5	60%	0.26	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	-0.04	0.16	-0.02	17	62%	0.34	7	-0.19	6	83%	0.03
Fred Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	86%	0.11	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.02	12	65%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	1	125%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	14%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	3	12%	-0.11	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.29	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.16,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.29,-0.29	-0.13	-0.16	0.00	19	43%	-0.14	4	-0.15	6	50%	-0.15

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	17	60%	0.19	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	10	45%	0.16	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.09	-0.01	18	49%	0.12	5	-0.12	7	86%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.11	0.01	21	55%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	7	29%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.0	15.6	25.2	2.6	39.2	1.8	13.0	151.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.3%

IND +21.0%

IND +2.9%

LAC -9.4%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	17.4	15.4	15.7	104.1	96.9	100.5
season	16.7	15.5		101.1	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.0	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.8	17.5	17.3	16.7	20.0	17.4
LAC	15.2	16.0	14.7	16.0	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	61	61	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-10	27	17.1	17.7	-0.64	15.7	15.1	0.60
Jamaal Tinsley	65	66	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.28	17	-10	27	16.6	18.8	-2.14	15.5	15.3	0.16
Metta World Peace	76	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-6	19	17.4	17.2	0.14	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Jermaine O'Neal	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-5	17	17.6	16.5	1.09	15.5	15.1	0.40
Jeff Foster	56	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-8	23	17.0	17.8	-0.79	15.4	15.4	0.03
Fred Jones	23	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	12	-17	18.2	17.1	1.08	15.6	15.4	0.26
Austin Croshere	9	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	9	-11	15.6	17.5	-1.98	17.0	15.3	1.71
Scot Pollard	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	10	-13	17.3	17.4	-0.06	13.6	15.6	-2.04
Kenny Anderson	18	18	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	9	-11	17.1	17.4	-0.36	15.8	15.4	0.42
Anthony Johnson	14	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	15	-23	21.0	16.7	4.27	14.7	15.5	-0.86
Jonathan Bender	21	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	13	-19	17.2	17.4	-0.14	16.1	15.2	0.90
Al Harrington	54	57	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.07	-13	20	-33	17.6	17.0	0.59	15.1	15.9	-0.79

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	80	80	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.03	6	-13	19	15.6	14.6	0.95	17.2	18.1	-0.93
Chris Wilcox	43	43	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.12	8	-15	23	15.7	15.2	0.52	17.7	17.1	0.62
Eddie House	41	39	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-14	21	15.5	15.4	0.18	16.7	17.8	-1.06
Bobby Simmons	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-6	5	15.6	15.2	0.45	17.8	16.7	1.12
Chris Kaman	33	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	5	-17	15.5	15.4	0.08	16.2	17.9	-1.73
Quentin Richardson	84	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	1	-9	15.1	17.6	-2.52	17.3	17.7	-0.39
Marko Jaric	56	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	7	-21	15.4	15.5	-0.18	17.8	16.7	1.06
Corey Maggette	84	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.24	-14	7	-21	15.4	15.9	-0.57	17.2	18.2	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 117, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.33,0.15,0	91.6%
DET 106, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.43,0.04,0	88.8%
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	88.5%