NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	13.0 [11]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +71.0%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	68.0 [16]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -33.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.71	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.57,0.64,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.71	0.23	0.48	0.00	24	78%	1.00	4	-0.29	3	100%	0.04
Al Harrington	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.03	0.12	0.00	18	55%	0.26	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.01
Esteban Batista	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	1	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	14	58%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.04	6	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	11	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.18	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	8	22%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.15

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.51,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.21	0.22	-0.00	22	64%	0.43	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.08	-0.00	14	72%	0.43	3	-0.15	15	67%	-0.17
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	4	73%	0.15	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.03
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29	-0.29	-0.02	-0.26	0.01	15	60%	-0.09	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.34	-0.34	-0.15	-0.24	-0.05	9	25%	-0.27	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	28.4	15.6	30.3	2.4	41.6	2.4	25.5	171.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +106.8%

IND -43.0%

IND -14.8%

IND -10.1%

ATL +11.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	15.1	15.6	117.0	109.8	104.4
season	15.6	16.0		103.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	16.1	17.5	15.8	16.1	16.7	16.4
IND	15.9	14.5	16.9	13.9	13.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	85	87	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-2	9	16.1	17.9	-1.73	15.2	14.5	0.66
Joe Johnson	87	89	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	2	1	16.7	14.6	2.05	15.3	13.5	1.79
Zaza Pachulia	61	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	4	-3	17.2	15.2	1.96	15.8	14.0	1.82
Marvin Williams	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	1	3	16.3	16.5	-0.19	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Josh Childress	80	82	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	5	-5	16.5	16.1	0.38	14.9	16.0	-1.12
Royal Ivey	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-5	15	15.0	17.3	-2.34	13.5	16.1	-2.65
Esteban Batista	11	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	1	3	14.9	16.6	-1.68	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Al Harrington	65	66	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.17	-4	9	-13	16.7	15.8	0.97	15.8	13.9	1.87

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	0.0	15.1	-15.10	21.0	16.4	4.65
Sarunas Jasikevicius	43	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-3	1	15.1	15.1	-0.05	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Stephen Jackson	33	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-5	5	14.4	15.4	-1.00	16.1	16.6	-0.48
Fred Jones	80	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	15.1	15.0	0.13	16.8	14.5	2.31
Jeff Foster	75	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-7	9	15.4	14.2	1.24	16.7	15.5	1.20
Danny Granger	64	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	0	-5	14.8	15.6	-0.81	16.1	16.9	-0.79
Scot Pollard	42	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	9	-23	15.7	14.7	0.97	15.3	17.2	-1.92
Peja Stojakovic	87	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-4	3	15.1	15.2	-0.12	16.6	15.0	1.63
Anthony Johnson	86	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	15.0	15.5	-0.48	16.5	15.8	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.01,0	91.6%
HOU 91, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.22,0.22,0.27,0	89.4%
ATL 116, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.27,0	88.9%