NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	84		Excitement	5.7 [673]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAS): +19.2%
San Antonio Spurs	88		Comeback	1.3 [960]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -21.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.03	19	52%	0.02	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	13	38%	-0.06	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.07	0.02	10	82%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.11	-0.02	13	57%	0.21	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	7	78%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	78%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	15	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	27.4	17.7	29.0	2.4	31.4	133.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.8%

SEA -5.6%

SAS +14.6%

SAS +17.6%

SAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.5	15.7	92.3	96.7	100.5
season	15.6	15.9		105.0	100.1
opponent	15.8	15.7		92.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.6	14.7	16.9	13.3	15.2
SAS	15.0	18.0	15.0	17.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ansu Sesay	25	27	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.19	15	-19	34	13.2	15.9	-2.67	18.9	15.4	3.49
Vladimir Radmanovic	60	62	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.40	14	-18	32	13.8	17.8	-3.99	17.2	15.0	2.16
Ronald Murray	58	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-18	32	13.9	17.5	-3.58	17.0	15.5	1.45
Jerome James	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-10	16	14.3	15.8	-1.49	16.9	16.2	0.75
Ray Allen	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-3	2	15.5	13.4	2.06	16.9	13.8	3.15
Vitaly Potapenko	54	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	4	-12	15.7	14.5	1.21	16.3	16.7	-0.32
Reggie Evans	32	30	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.04	-20	16	-36	17.9	13.7	4.21	14.7	17.3	-2.59
Luke Ridnour	47	45	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.00	-21	17	-38	16.3	14.0	2.23	15.0	17.9	-2.87
Rashard Lewis	66	64	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.19	-19	15	-34	15.9	13.2	2.67	15.4	18.9	-3.49

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	67	67	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-14	32	16.5	16.4	0.13	16.1	12.5	3.58
Bruce Bowen	62	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-6	16	16.5	16.3	0.19	15.5	14.4	1.12
Tony Parker	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-5	14	16.9	15.4	1.52	15.3	14.8	0.57
Hedo Turkoglu	69	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-3	10	15.9	18.2	-2.25	15.6	13.6	2.02
Robert Horry	43	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	6	-8	16.2	16.7	-0.45	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Malik Rose	36	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-2	8	17.4	15.9	1.52	15.6	14.8	0.78
Manu Ginobili	40	41	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	4	-4	16.8	16.2	0.58	14.2	16.0	-1.78
Charlie Ward	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	4	-4	17.4	16.4	1.04	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Jason Hart	19	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	14.6	17.0	-2.33	14.7	15.3	-0.57
Devin Brown	24	21	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.02	-9	13	-22	16.1	16.6	-0.53	14.2	15.5	-1.22
Kevin Willis	23	22	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	18	-32	16.7	16.4	0.30	12.8	15.9	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, SAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.93,1,0.98,1	93.6%
DET 105, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.82,0.94,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.76,0.82,0.68,0.93,0.85,0.99,1	93.0%
OKC 99, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.9%