NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	7.3 [432]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +32.7%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.4 [1060]		LVP	Stanley Johnson (DET): -24.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.07	0.06	0.03	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Bruce Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ish Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	17	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Glenn Robinson III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	17	57%	0.07	5	-0.17	8	100%	0.04
Reggie Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.05	0.03	9	38%	-0.09	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	6	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.20	0.12	-0.00	16	77%	0.41	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	11	58%	0.14	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.07
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Williams III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.8	28.4	15.3	27.6	2.5	36.2	142.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.6%

BOS +10.8%

DET -7.6%

BOS +21.7%

DET -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	14.1	13.4	14.3	101.0	102.9	109.3
season	15.3	13.9		107.5	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.0		106.3	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.1	15.4	15.2	12.2	14.1
BOS	13.6	14.0	13.1	13.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	74	73	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.31	9	-12	21	13.9	14.6	-0.69	14.5	10.9	3.66
Bruce Brown	24	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	14.9	13.9	0.95	15.6	12.7	2.88
Jose Calderon	28	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.22	3	-6	9	13.4	14.4	-0.98	12.7	13.7	-0.91
Glenn Robinson III	22	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	2	-7	16.0	13.7	2.30	14.0	13.3	0.68
Andre Drummond	72	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-4	5	13.4	15.8	-2.45	12.9	14.5	-1.56
Zaza Pachulia	32	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	1	-5	15.8	13.4	2.45	14.5	12.9	1.56
Ish Smith	60	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-6	9	13.8	14.6	-0.77	13.6	13.2	0.43
Reggie Bullock	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-3	3	13.7	15.0	-1.28	12.9	14.6	-1.73
Reggie Jackson	59	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	7	-17	14.7	13.4	1.23	13.0	14.0	-1.01
Blake Griffin	77	78	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.25	-13	10	-23	14.1	14.4	-0.31	12.4	16.3	-3.92

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	69	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.60	-1	4	-5	13.1	14.0	-0.93	13.5	15.4	-1.86
Kyrie Irving	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.46	1	2	-1	12.9	14.7	-1.79	13.7	15.1	-1.39
Jayson Tatum	65	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-7	17	13.7	13.0	0.68	14.3	13.8	0.52
Terry Rozier	41	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	-2	7	14.1	13.0	1.15	15.0	13.6	1.43
Al Horford	69	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	1	1	14.1	12.1	2.03	14.6	13.3	1.21
Jaylen Brown	71	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	2	-1	13.2	13.9	-0.73	14.4	13.7	0.69
Aron Baynes	29	29	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	-7	17	11.1	14.3	-3.15	14.4	14.0	0.37
Marcus Smart	42	40	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	2	-1	13.5	13.4	0.10	14.4	14.0	0.37
Gordon Hayward	57	57	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	4	-5	13.8	13.0	0.85	13.5	14.9	-1.37
Guerschon Yabusele	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	9	-15	16.7	13.2	3.44	15.0	14.1	0.91
Robert Williams III	2	1	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	10	-17	16.5	13.4	3.14	9.0	14.2	-5.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.82,0.94,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.76,0.82,0.68,0.93,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 97, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,1	93.3%
CHH 80, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.42,0.58,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%
LAC 72, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%