NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	5.5 [695]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +15.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	4.0 [121]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): -17.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.00	11	78%	0.20	1	-0.04	14	86%	0.03
Tayshaun Prince	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.08	-0.02	17	39%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.03
Richard Hamilton	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	16	57%	0.06	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.02	-0.05	7	50%	0.07	4	-0.10	6	67%	0.02
Mike James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	10	63%	0.12	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.07
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	19	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	23	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.7	28.1	15.8	24.7	2.0	37.3	139.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.3%

DET +6.0%

LAC -0.4%

DET +7.7%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.7	109.9	96.7	100.5
season	16.2	15.5		99.2	101.3
opponent	15.4	16.0		106.0	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.3	19.8	16.1	11.3	15.5
LAC	15.7	17.1	17.4	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	52	51	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.15	17	-5	22	13.6	18.0	-4.40	15.8	16.7	-0.96
Rasheed Wallace	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-2	16	15.1	17.8	-2.73	16.3	15.5	0.79
Chauncey Billups	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	0	12	15.6	14.7	0.93	15.9	17.4	-1.50
Richard Hamilton	76	76	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	1	10	15.0	17.6	-2.56	16.6	14.0	2.62
Mike James	28	29	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	7	-2	16.7	14.9	1.81	16.4	16.1	0.38
Ben Wallace	72	71	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	4	4	15.6	14.8	0.85	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Tayshaun Prince	62	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	7	-2	16.9	12.4	4.52	16.9	14.4	2.48
Tremaine Fowlkes	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.5	15.6	-4.05	11.5	16.3	-4.79
Lindsey Hunter	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.5	15.6	-4.05	11.5	16.3	-4.79
Darko Milicic	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.5	15.6	-4.05	11.5	16.3	-4.79
Darvin Ham	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	18	-24	20.8	15.1	5.75	13.2	16.4	-3.23

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	16.2	-16.19	2.0	15.6	-13.61
Chris Kaman	51	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.18	-10	-2	-8	17.3	14.7	2.61	17.8	12.6	5.19
Marko Jaric	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-8	4	15.3	18.0	-2.66	14.4	17.7	-3.29
Chris Wilcox	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-11	10	15.4	16.8	-1.45	16.3	14.9	1.39
Quentin Richardson	75	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	16.0	16.9	-0.83	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Eddie House	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-6	0	17.8	15.3	2.51	17.3	14.5	2.81
Corey Maggette	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	16.2	16.3	-0.16	14.6	18.3	-3.70
Bobby Simmons	45	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	-1	-10	15.8	16.5	-0.68	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Elton Brand	81	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	-1	-10	16.2	15.7	0.55	15.0	19.0	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.1,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
BOS 95, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.0%
CLE 111, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0,0,0	92.5%