NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	4.1 [985]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +10.7%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	1.3 [1046]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -24.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.03	12	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	89%	0.07	5	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	19	47%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	48%	-0.00	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.25	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.24	-0.02	-0.01	8	29%	-0.06	9	-0.18	1	0%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.03	15	69%	0.15	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	57%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	10	45%	0.01	4	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	7	45%	-0.01	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	29.3	15.7	25.2	2.4	30.6	128.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +26.7%

DEN +3.6%

DEN +3.1%

DEN +16.9%

NYK -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	15.7	93.2	102.9	100.5
season	15.5	14.9		98.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	13.2	15.1	13.4	14.2
DEN	12.2	13.5	16.2	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	18	16	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-17	23	14.1	14.2	-0.05	16.6	13.1	3.49
Anfernee Hardaway	50	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-19	27	13.1	15.2	-2.13	13.8	13.5	0.28
Frank Williams	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-12	13	13.5	14.5	-0.93	13.8	13.6	0.22
Othella Harrington	16	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-8	5	12.5	14.5	-1.96	15.0	13.4	1.60
Shandon Anderson	47	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-10	9	13.0	15.2	-2.20	14.0	13.4	0.62
Dikembe Mutombo	28	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-1	-9	15.1	13.8	1.36	13.8	13.6	0.18
Nazr Mohammed	39	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	14.3	14.1	0.20	13.0	14.1	-1.10
Allan Houston	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	2	-15	15.3	12.9	2.44	13.3	14.1	-0.85
Tim Thomas	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.5	13.3	1.27	12.9	15.3	-2.34
Stephon Marbury	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	1	-13	14.5	13.5	0.93	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Kurt Thomas	89	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	3	-17	14.3	13.1	1.25	13.7	13.5	0.24

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	81	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-3	17	13.7	13.7	0.03	14.3	13.6	0.69
Voshon Lenard	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-7	25	13.7	13.7	-0.06	14.5	13.5	0.93
Andre Miller	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-3	17	13.4	14.2	-0.89	14.6	13.3	1.35
Carmelo Anthony	64	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	2	7	13.9	13.2	0.69	14.9	13.0	1.81
Rodney White	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	9	-7	13.2	13.9	-0.69	13.0	14.9	-1.81
Chris Andersen	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.25	-4	15	-19	14.3	13.1	1.17	13.0	15.2	-2.20
Earl Boykins	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	14	-17	14.2	13.4	0.89	13.3	14.6	-1.35
Jon Barry	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.25	-7	18	-25	13.7	13.7	0.06	13.5	14.5	-0.93
Michael Doleac	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	12	-13	12.0	14.0	-2.02	13.2	14.4	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 66, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHI 83, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
WAS 88, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%