NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	9.2 [99]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +36.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	3.7 [141]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -34.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.3,0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.00	20	63%	0.37	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.32	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.25	0.10	0.04	18	88%	0.43	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	47%	-0.05	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26,-0.35,-0.35	-0.12	-0.22	0.01	7	28%	-0.21	2	-0.14	4	25%	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.00	4	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	12	65%	-0.06	2	-0.05	13	46%	-0.27
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.23,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	28	53%	0.02	4	-0.13	10	90%	0.09
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.6	34.2	19.7	26.0	3.5	32.5	143.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +76.0%

SAC +11.0%

LAL -24.4%

LAL -11.4%

LAL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	16.3	15.7	107.3	104.1	100.5
season	14.7	15.4		106.9	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.3	13.5	13.0	14.5	13.6
LAL	17.3	15.3	17.0	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	45	47	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-2	6	14.1	13.1	0.95	16.4	16.1	0.31
Doug Christie	84	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-2	6	13.7	12.4	1.31	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Peja Stojakovic	83	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	0	2	14.0	10.8	3.14	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Vlade Divac	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-1	4	13.4	14.6	-1.26	16.1	17.1	-0.94
Mike Bibby	83	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-3	8	13.4	14.5	-1.13	16.2	16.6	-0.35
Darius Songaila	59	61	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	0	2	13.0	14.5	-1.50	16.7	15.5	1.27
Tony Massenburg	14	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	3	-4	14.6	13.4	1.26	17.1	16.1	0.94
Jabari Smith	13	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	5	-8	14.5	13.4	1.04	15.4	16.4	-0.97
Gerald Wallace	17	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	8	-14	11.4	14.0	-2.61	15.9	16.3	-0.40

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	23	21	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.05	9	-11	20	15.0	16.6	-1.61	14.1	13.4	0.74
Bryon Russell	13	12	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-6	10	15.2	16.4	-1.29	12.5	13.7	-1.21
Rick Fox	27	28	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-2	2	16.6	16.1	0.45	13.7	13.5	0.16
Brian Cook	34	34	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	0	-2	16.7	16.0	0.67	13.4	13.7	-0.32
Slava Medvedenko	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-1	0	17.0	16.0	0.95	13.5	13.6	-0.14
Shaquille O'Neal	84	84	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-8	14	15.7	20.0	-4.31	13.7	12.2	1.50
Gary Payton	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-6	10	15.5	17.6	-2.09	13.8	13.1	0.64
Horace Grant	13	12	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	6	-14	20.0	15.7	4.31	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Derek Fisher	31	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	6	-14	17.5	15.7	1.83	13.9	13.4	0.48
Devean George	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	4	-10	16.4	16.0	0.42	13.7	13.3	0.41
Kareem Rush	32	32	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.50	-2	0	-2	15.6	16.6	-0.96	13.7	13.5	0.23
Kobe Bryant	85	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.47	-6	4	-10	16.5	14.6	1.92	13.2	16.2	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	92.2%
SAS 91, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.16,0	91.5%
SAS 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	91.4%