inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 76 Excitement7.4 [328] MVPDonyell Marshall (TOR): +9.8%
Toronto Raptors 74 Comeback1.4 [581] LVPJannero Pargo (TOR): -36.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0.070,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01781%0.091-0.02250%-0.01
Jared Jeffries0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.00567%0.0600.002100%0.02
Etan Thomas0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00756%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Gilbert Arenas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.05-0.00370%0.083-0.07475%0.00
Steve Blake0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.03-0.00540%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Juan Dixon-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.01633%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.011648%-0.023-0.0610%-0.02
Jarvis Hayes-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.050.00367%0.033-0.1100%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.150,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15-0.17-0.00-0.021042%0.006-0.16683%0.01
Brevin Knight-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22-0.08-0.140.0040%-0.201-0.0200%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.10.100.050.070.011559%0.131-0.03475%-0.01
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jerome Moiso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.082-0.084100%0.05
Michael Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.001443%-0.0300.00250%-0.03
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.011154%0.035-0.11650%-0.04
Milt Palacio0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.01725%-0.081-0.0220%-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13-0.130.02-0.15-0.00956%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.001020%-0.292-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.522.816.024.01.833.1120.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +32.6%
WAS +7.9%
WAS +24.9%
TOR -15.6%
WAS +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game15.417.815.788.485.1100.5
season15.216.896.494.8
opponent15.715.398.4102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.016.715.015.315.4
TOR18.521.216.316.017.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas57570.65-0.150.800.457-51214.816.7-1.8817.219.0-1.77
Kwame Brown67660.52-0.020.540.433-1415.017.0-2.0016.920.7-3.79
Jerry Stackhouse55550.52-0.020.540.4620214.417.2-2.7917.318.8-1.54
Jared Jeffries29300.370.130.240.3702-215.415.5-0.0920.316.63.71
Brevin Knight45460.270.230.040.39-46-1016.014.81.2218.716.91.86
Juan Dixon43440.120.38-0.260.0620215.315.6-0.3317.418.3-0.92
Etan Thomas27270.110.39-0.28-0.014-2616.714.91.7919.517.12.38
Brendan Haywood4951-0.000.50-0.500.09-35-815.415.5-0.0816.719.4-2.69
Jarvis Hayes2930-0.020.52-0.55-0.0202-217.314.52.8219.117.21.87
Steve Blake2929-0.040.54-0.58-0.01-13-416.115.10.9518.117.70.45

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Moiso29280.19-0.690.87-0.027-91616.118.7-2.5516.814.81.99
Michael Bradley67-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-2216.218.0-1.8018.315.23.10
Michael Curry3434-0.10-0.400.31-0.183-5817.817.9-0.1217.913.93.99
Milt Palacio4644-0.23-0.270.040.00-86-1418.317.30.9414.416.5-2.11
Jannero Pargo4142-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.446-81417.318.3-0.9416.514.42.11
Roger Mason Jr.6260-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.25-31-418.017.30.7314.517.7-3.17
Chris Bosh6866-0.510.01-0.52-0.42-31-418.714.64.1715.116.6-1.51
Morris Peterson7878-0.560.06-0.61-0.44-42-617.719.0-1.2915.118.5-3.37
Donyell Marshall7171-0.670.17-0.84-0.44-86-1417.818.0-0.2015.017.7-2.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 100, BOS 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.17,092.5%
BOS 100, WAS 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.05,0.16,0.02,092.0%
LAC 110, SAC 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.02,091.9%