NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	8.5 [158]		MVP	Dion Glover (ATL): +13.1%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.3 [508]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -35.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	10	73%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	10	65%	0.29	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	67%	0.16	5	-0.15	9	67%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	86%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Chris Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.01	8	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04	6	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17	-0.08	-0.12	-0.03	20	52%	0.09	6	-0.26	4	50%	-0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	72%	0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	10	41%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	-0.16	-0.02	21	54%	-0.09	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.09
Mike James	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.09,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	17	41%	-0.07	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.36	-0.36	-0.09	-0.27	-0.01	11	42%	-0.23	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.7	27.4	15.4	28.4	2.5	41.0	144.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +84.0%

BOS -6.1%

ATL +1.9%

BOS -35.1%

ATL +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.7	100.0	96.0	100.5
season	15.3	14.4		98.2	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.9	14.6	16.3	14.9	14.6
BOS	14.8	13.7	13.7	14.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	73	72	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.39	16	-12	28	14.8	14.3	0.52	14.9	12.3	2.60
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	80	82	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.43	12	-8	20	14.9	13.7	1.18	14.3	13.7	0.53
Jason Terry	83	84	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-11	26	15.0	12.9	2.05	14.6	12.0	2.57
Stephen Jackson	83	81	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-3	10	14.8	13.9	0.84	14.4	13.2	1.17
Dion Glover	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.15	10	-6	16	14.8	14.4	0.34	14.1	14.2	-0.03
Boris Diaw	59	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	13	-22	14.1	15.5	-1.44	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Chris Crawford	20	19	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.09	-6	10	-16	13.7	14.9	-1.18	13.2	14.4	-1.24
Dan Dickau	17	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	15	-26	12.9	15.0	-2.05	12.0	14.6	-2.57
Nazr Mohammed	26	27	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	18	-32	14.8	14.6	0.23	12.6	14.7	-2.10

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	20	19	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-7	10	12.8	14.5	-1.64	13.6	14.9	-1.31
Mark Blount	41	42	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-9	14	14.2	14.1	0.06	15.9	13.7	2.18
Michael Stewart	9	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-3	2	13.3	14.2	-0.91	11.7	14.9	-3.14
Walter McCarty	73	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.49	14	-18	32	13.6	15.6	-1.96	15.2	13.1	2.09
Jiri Welsch	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	0	-4	14.7	13.3	1.36	15.0	14.2	0.80
Brandon Hunter	16	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	1	-6	12.6	14.5	-1.83	12.4	15.0	-2.64
Paul Pierce	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-8	12	14.1	14.4	-0.32	14.7	14.4	0.33
Ricky Davis	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	4	-12	13.7	14.8	-1.12	14.2	15.2	-1.02
Mike James	80	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.39	-8	4	-12	14.5	12.8	1.64	14.9	13.6	1.31
Chris Mihm	61	62	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.23	-20	16	-36	15.3	12.4	2.91	14.0	15.6	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 76, TOR 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.17,0	92.5%
WAS 102, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.49,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.26,0	90.6%
CHA 102, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	90.5%