NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	6.0 [602]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +23.0%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	3.3 [632]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -19.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.22	0.05	0.09	21	75%	0.22	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.01	0.04	13	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	7	25%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.03	20	35%	-0.08	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	0.00	19	70%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.09	0.02	20	60%	0.20	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	64%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	12	50%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	24.2	15.6	23.8	2.8	31.2	123.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.5%

SAC +3.7%

NYK -10.1%

SAC +16.5%

NYK -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	15.7	103.1	112.6	100.5
season	15.5	14.7		98.6	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.5	16.8	15.1	16.4	15.1
SAC	13.6	13.2	15.5	18.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-7	6	15.6	15.0	0.56	13.5	15.3	-1.78
Nazr Mohammed	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-10	12	13.9	17.5	-3.64	15.2	14.8	0.48
Shandon Anderson	72	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-9	10	14.4	16.9	-2.49	15.6	13.5	2.08
Michael Sweetney	30	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	16.0	14.6	1.43	13.8	15.6	-1.86
Tim Thomas	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-7	6	15.1	15.1	-0.00	15.3	14.3	1.01
Dikembe Mutombo	23	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	18.6	13.9	4.68	15.4	15.0	0.37
Kurt Thomas	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	14.6	16.6	-2.06	15.4	14.2	1.16
Stephon Marbury	87	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	15.0	15.6	-0.56	15.3	13.5	1.78
Anfernee Hardaway	42	40	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.11	-16	8	-24	16.1	14.2	1.90	13.8	16.0	-2.15

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	82	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	15.3	13.7	1.62	14.9	16.2	-1.37
Vlade Divac	83	83	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-3	14	15.0	15.6	-0.56	15.2	14.4	0.77
Anthony Peeler	36	36	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-7	22	15.2	15.0	0.25	16.6	14.1	2.54
Darius Songaila	85	86	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	3	2	15.3	13.5	1.78	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Mike Bibby	83	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	7	-6	15.2	14.6	0.59	15.4	13.1	2.24
Doug Christie	71	74	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	8	-8	14.9	15.6	-0.65	13.9	18.9	-4.94
Jabari Smith	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	5	-2	13.5	15.3	-1.78	16.3	14.9	1.39
Tony Massenburg	12	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	11	-14	15.6	15.0	0.56	14.4	15.2	-0.77
Gerald Wallace	13	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	13	-18	13.7	15.3	-1.62	16.2	14.9	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.73,0.83,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.6%
MIN 84, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.5%
UTA 80, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1	92.4%