NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	1.8 [1265]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +12.3%
Miami Heat	125		Comeback	1.0 [1235]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): -6.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.05	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	10	20%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	4	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	10	90%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	3	40%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Crawford	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.05	20	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	57%	-0.01	6	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.22	0.00	0.10	9	109%	0.12	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	92%	0.10	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	12	76%	0.05	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.06	10	81%	0.04	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	65%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	62%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.5	15.7	27.2	2.5	30.3	127.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +33.3%

MIA +7.2%

ATL -0.8%

MIA +9.6%

MIA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.7	96.8	131.6	100.5
season	15.3	16.2		98.2	99.3
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	16.3	13.1	14.9	14.8
MIA	14.2	15.7	14.6	17.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mamadou N'diaye	45	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-33	33	16.0	13.7	2.26	15.8	15.3	0.53
Wesley Person	6	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-26	19	13.8	14.9	-1.02	14.0	15.6	-1.65
Jacque Vaughn	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-28	23	15.7	13.7	2.02	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Dion Glover	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-24	15	15.6	13.8	1.82	15.0	16.2	-1.28
Boris Diaw	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.45	-26	-7	-19	13.9	16.5	-2.55	16.0	14.7	1.23
Joel Przybilla	61	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.34	-23	-10	-13	14.0	16.3	-2.34	15.4	15.7	-0.24
Stephen Jackson	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	-9	-15	14.4	15.7	-1.28	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Chris Crawford	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.53	-32	-1	-31	14.5	15.5	-1.03	16.0	14.2	1.85
Jason Terry	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.69	-39	6	-45	15.0	14.4	0.65	15.4	15.8	-0.37

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	59	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.54	35	-2	37	15.5	15.5	0.04	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Lamar Odom	56	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.51	31	2	29	14.8	16.6	-1.85	15.4	13.9	1.47
Eddie Jones	51	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.56	30	3	27	15.1	16.0	-0.92	15.2	14.3	0.81
Brian Grant	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.40	24	9	15	15.6	15.5	0.06	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Caron Butler	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.37	23	10	13	14.4	16.8	-2.36	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Rasual Butler	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.10	10	23	-13	16.8	14.4	2.36	15.6	14.1	1.50
Rafer Alston	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.22	14	19	-5	13.8	16.3	-2.57	15.6	14.4	1.14
Malik Allen	20	20	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.16	12	21	-9	14.6	15.8	-1.17	16.1	14.4	1.66
Udonis Haslem	39	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	31	-29	16.6	14.8	1.85	13.9	15.4	-1.47
Loren Woods	32	32	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	36	-39	16.1	15.3	0.81	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Bimbo Coles	28	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	41	-49	16.3	15.2	1.13	13.6	15.3	-1.67
John Wallace	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	38	-43	17.9	14.8	3.04	14.9	14.8	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, SAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
ATL 76, CLE 110	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
ATL 76, SAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%