NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	76		Excitement	1.8 [1302]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +13.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Comeback	1.0 [1309]		LVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): -8.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Esteban Batista	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.00	3	-0.02	8	62%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.10	18	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.03
Tyronn Lue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	5	58%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	13	46%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.19	0.00	-0.11	15	25%	-0.06	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	4	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.05	9	78%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	12	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.6	30.1	15.7	23.7	2.6	29.2	131.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.8%

CLE +1.0%

CLE +5.9%

CLE +6.2%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	17.3	14.0	15.4	82.6	119.6	104.5
season	16.1	16.0		101.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	17.3	18.0	16.6	17.3
CLE	10.9	17.0	14.1	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Esteban Batista	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.11	-4	-30	26	19.1	16.9	2.12	11.4	14.5	-3.07
Royal Ivey	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.33	-17	-17	0	17.8	16.9	0.87	13.9	14.1	-0.23
Lorenzen Wright	20	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	-24	14	15.8	17.7	-1.88	15.7	13.6	2.10
Anthony Johnson	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-24	14	15.8	18.4	-2.65	14.6	13.6	1.05
Tyronn Lue	50	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.36	-21	-13	-8	18.5	15.9	2.60	14.2	13.9	0.28
Shelden Williams	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.26	-21	-13	-8	16.7	19.1	-2.36	14.1	13.7	0.47
Marvin Williams	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.44	-27	-7	-20	17.2	17.5	-0.21	13.1	20.2	-7.05
Solomon Jones	62	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.39	-29	-5	-24	17.6	16.6	1.05	14.3	13.5	0.82
Josh Smith	81	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.42	-31	-3	-28	17.3	16.9	0.41	14.4	11.2	3.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	62	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.32	25	9	16	13.7	14.7	-1.04	17.3	17.1	0.21
Sasha Pavlovic	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.41	26	8	18	13.4	15.5	-2.10	17.3	17.2	0.03
Anderson Varejao	36	34	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.32	22	12	10	14.4	13.8	0.59	18.0	16.8	1.16
Larry Hughes	59	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	14	6	13.1	15.7	-2.55	16.7	18.2	-1.51
Drew Gooden	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	19	-4	12.9	15.3	-2.34	16.9	17.7	-0.81
Daniel Gibson	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.25	16	18	-2	15.6	13.0	2.59	17.9	16.9	1.01
Eric Snow	38	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	20	-6	15.1	13.3	1.78	18.0	16.8	1.24
Donyell Marshall	38	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	20	-6	15.1	13.3	1.78	18.0	16.8	1.24
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	18	-2	13.7	14.3	-0.54	17.0	17.5	-0.55
Damon Jones	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	33	-32	15.2	13.8	1.40	15.9	17.6	-1.63
Scot Pollard	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	33	-32	14.7	13.8	0.89	16.2	17.6	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, SAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
GSW 98, LAC 138	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
ATL 92, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%