NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	76		Excitement	1.8 [1252]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +8.9%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	1.0 [1027]		LVP	Christian Laettner (ATL): -5.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Brown	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	10	90%	-0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	3	40%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	0%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	29%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	12	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	11	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	14	74%	0.10	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	80%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.14	0.00	-0.13	11	25%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	9	41%	0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	25.6	15.6	26.2	2.3	26.5	123.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.6%

SAS +1.7%

SAS +13.1%

SAS +1.7%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAS	NBA	ATL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	16.3	15.6	80.9	94.7	102.5
season	16.1	15.9		105.3	100.9
opponent	15.9	16.0		97.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	17.3	15.5	10.4	14.1
SAS	16.6	16.2	17.9	15.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-28	42	9.5	15.8	-6.30	14.2	17.0	-2.88
Drew Barry	29	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.47	16	-30	46	10.4	15.8	-5.45	15.0	16.9	-1.92
Greg Anderson	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-28	42	11.5	15.8	-4.34	14.8	17.3	-2.51
Chris Crawford	34	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.43	11	-25	36	13.2	14.7	-1.43	15.4	16.8	-1.46
Chucky Brown	23	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.11	-10	-4	-6	16.1	13.5	2.62	19.8	15.1	4.67
Eldridge Recasner	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-19	24	13.6	15.4	-1.72	15.0	19.3	-4.36
Alan Henderson	37	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.24	-18	4	-22	16.5	12.6	3.90	15.8	16.6	-0.87
Mookie Blaylock	47	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.32	-22	8	-30	14.3	14.0	0.26	17.5	15.0	2.54
Christian Laettner	60	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.34	-25	11	-36	14.7	13.2	1.43	16.8	15.4	1.46
Dikembe Mutombo	53	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.29	-25	11	-36	16.2	11.5	4.68	17.7	14.6	3.13
Steven Smith	61	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.39	-30	16	-46	15.9	11.0	4.90	16.9	15.3	1.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	54	53	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	-12	38	17.2	15.1	2.10	16.6	11.0	5.54
David Robinson	39	37	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.36	25	-11	36	18.3	14.9	3.42	16.5	12.6	3.81
Will Perdue	85	85	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	6	2	16.4	15.4	1.02	13.5	19.9	-6.35
Avery Johnson	48	46	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.22	20	-6	26	17.5	15.1	2.35	14.7	13.6	1.07
Jaren Jackson	45	44	0.34	0.17	0.17	-0.25	20	-6	26	17.5	15.2	2.31	14.4	14.0	0.40
Chuck Person	33	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	3	8	15.9	16.5	-0.62	17.2	12.5	4.77
Vinny Del Negro	58	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.39	-8	22	-30	15.2	18.1	-2.85	13.6	15.0	-1.38
Reggie Geary	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.32	-6	20	-26	14.9	17.8	-2.91	13.6	14.8	-1.16
Carl Herrera	41	41	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.39	-12	26	-38	15.1	17.2	-2.10	11.0	16.6	-5.54
Monty Williams	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	28	-42	14.2	17.0	-2.88	9.5	15.8	-6.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
BKN 81, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
DEN 79, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%