NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	4.8 [852]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +20.2%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	1.2 [466]		LVP	Juwan Howard (ORL): -10.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.20	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.04	0.02	23	70%	0.24	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Maurice Taylor	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.02	-0.05	13	67%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.05	-0.05	11	32%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	-0.00	22	61%	0.18	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	14	30%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.0	30.2	16.6	26.0	1.8	31.0	131.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +28.1%

HOU +8.1%

HOU +6.7%

HOU +3.7%

HOU +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ORL	NBA	HOU	ORL	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.7	111.2	97.8	100.5
season	16.5	15.7		98.8	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		108.2	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	16.2	16.0	18.6	16.4
ORL	17.3	15.8	16.0	14.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	44	43	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-5	22	16.1	16.7	-0.62	16.2	15.8	0.45
Yao Ming	63	62	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-1	14	16.3	16.6	-0.28	16.5	14.8	1.67
Maurice Taylor	56	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	16.9	15.6	1.28	15.4	16.9	-1.48
Steve Francis	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	4	4	17.3	12.5	4.83	15.4	18.4	-2.94
Jim Jackson	73	73	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	6	0	16.6	15.4	1.15	15.4	18.6	-3.15
Cuttino Mobley	61	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	6	0	15.5	18.2	-2.73	16.8	14.1	2.73
Kelvin Cato	56	57	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	10	-8	16.4	16.3	0.17	16.3	15.5	0.79
Bostjan Nachbar	16	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	11	-10	15.1	16.7	-1.61	16.2	15.9	0.32
Mike Wilks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.5	16.5	-4.99	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Scott Padgett	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.5	16.5	-4.99	15.5	16.0	-0.49

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	10.0	16.3	-6.33	16.7	16.4	0.31
Reece Gaines	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	10.0	16.3	-6.33	16.7	16.4	0.31
Tracy McGrady	69	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-9	6	16.3	14.8	1.52	17.0	14.2	2.81
Andrew DeClercq	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-6	0	17.4	14.7	2.71	15.9	16.8	-0.89
Shammond Williams	13	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-9	6	11.9	16.7	-4.75	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Zaza Pachulia	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-12	12	14.4	16.8	-2.39	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Juwan Howard	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-4	-4	16.6	14.5	2.10	16.8	15.4	1.39
Tyronn Lue	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-2	-8	16.6	15.1	1.50	16.7	15.9	0.72
Gordan Giricek	66	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	-2	-10	8	15.0	18.8	-3.78	16.6	15.8	0.81
Rod Strickland	31	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-6	0	15.9	16.0	-0.11	15.8	16.7	-0.87
Keith Bogans	31	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	4	-20	18.5	14.6	3.85	14.7	17.3	-2.60
Drew Gooden	39	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	2	-16	15.8	16.1	-0.28	17.3	15.7	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.44,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.16,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
IND 93, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
ATL 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%