NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	4.1 [999]		MVP	Eric Williams (CLE): +14.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	1.0 [1193]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -10.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amal McCaskill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.05	16	59%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	29	48%	0.00	3	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	43%	-0.04	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	13	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.03	12	61%	0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	73%	0.04	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	15	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	11	39%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	30.3	14.8	25.3	2.5	33.2	132.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.4%

CLE +2.2%

CLE +6.9%

CLE +7.4%

CLE +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	17.8	15.7	100.0	109.2	100.5
season	16.2	15.7		96.7	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.3	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	17.4	15.5	12.8	15.3
CLE	14.5	16.0	18.8	22.1	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	8	9	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-13	18	8.9	16.0	-7.13	22.9	17.2	5.72
Amal McCaskill	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-17	26	14.8	16.2	-1.41	18.4	16.9	1.51
John Salmons	20	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-3	-2	15.5	15.3	0.27	17.6	17.8	-0.22
Kyle Korver	15	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-5	2	17.7	14.8	2.89	15.0	18.2	-3.24
Aaron McKie	49	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-11	14	14.9	15.9	-0.93	19.0	16.1	2.87
Zendon Hamilton	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	15.5	15.3	0.19	18.9	17.0	1.89
Allen Iverson	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-7	6	14.4	20.8	-6.47	17.5	19.4	-1.91
Eric Snow	68	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	15.7	14.2	1.52	17.5	18.7	-1.21
Samuel Dalembert	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	9	-26	15.7	14.4	1.38	16.9	20.0	-3.15
Glenn Robinson	51	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	11	-30	16.9	13.1	3.86	16.9	18.9	-2.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	77	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	17.4	20.4	-2.98	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Kedrick Brown	44	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-9	26	15.7	19.8	-4.11	16.6	14.0	2.61
Carlos Boozer	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	2	4	17.3	19.1	-1.78	14.6	17.6	-3.07
DeSagana Diop	26	26	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	0	8	19.9	16.9	3.03	18.4	14.0	4.39
Kevin Ollie	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	1	6	18.1	17.6	0.47	16.2	14.9	1.25
Dajuan Wagner	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	7	-6	18.5	16.9	1.54	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Jeff McInnis	66	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	8	-8	17.9	17.3	0.56	14.3	18.7	-4.38
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	7	-6	16.7	19.3	-2.64	15.0	15.9	-0.95
Ira Newble	29	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	14	-20	21.0	16.1	4.86	14.8	15.6	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 97, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	95.3%
MIA 73, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIN 111, SAC 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%