NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	78		Excitement	8.8 [122]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +2.1%
Indiana Pacers	74		Comeback	3.1 [281]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -42.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	59%	0.12	2	-0.14	5	100%	0.09
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	8	41%	-0.03	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	15	53%	0.01	5	-0.22	6	67%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.27	-0.05	-0.22	0.00	13	43%	-0.07	2	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	4	60%	0.08	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.04
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	5	50%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	10	33%	-0.09	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.05
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.20	-0.07	-0.02	18	22%	-0.21	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.03,-0.14,-0.42	-0.42	-0.10	-0.32	0.01	25	51%	-0.26	5	-0.16	11	64%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	3.5	30.4	0.2	28.2	3.4	48.0	140.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.3%

HOU +22.6%

HOU +23.2%

IND -33.1%

HOU +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	17.2	16.1	15.7	90.7	85.1	100.5
season	16.5	16.7		98.8	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		94.7	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	18.9	18.0	16.6	17.2
IND	15.7	20.0	14.8	14.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	77	77	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-5	14	17.1	18.3	-1.26	15.5	21.0	-5.55
Kelvin Cato	34	36	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	17.2	17.2	0.04	13.8	17.7	-3.95
Jim Jackson	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	-2	8	17.2	17.1	0.07	15.5	23.1	-7.67
Cuttino Mobley	76	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	-1	6	17.1	18.2	-1.12	15.8	18.5	-2.72
Yao Ming	65	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	3	-2	18.1	14.6	3.49	16.0	16.3	-0.26
Scott Padgett	17	16	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	-1	6	15.8	17.6	-1.80	20.7	15.1	5.63
Clar. Weatherspoon	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	5	-6	16.9	17.3	-0.42	17.9	15.3	2.60
Maurice Taylor	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	16.2	18.1	-1.84	16.8	15.5	1.30
Mark Jackson	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	9	-14	19.9	16.7	3.20	20.6	15.3	5.32

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	7	6	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-5	6	18.1	15.9	2.23	14.7	17.4	-2.73
Fred Jones	22	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-6	8	19.8	14.8	4.93	18.1	16.9	1.16
Anthony Johnson	33	33	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-7	10	18.8	14.5	4.29	16.6	17.6	-1.03
Austin Croshere	28	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-5	6	19.1	14.6	4.50	16.8	17.4	-0.58
Jeff Foster	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-2	0	13.8	17.7	-3.85	18.5	16.2	2.34
Al Harrington	58	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-7	10	17.0	14.3	2.72	16.6	18.4	-1.78
Jermaine O'Neal	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-5	6	15.7	18.5	-2.79	17.3	16.6	0.69
Jamaal Tinsley	54	53	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	3	-10	14.5	18.8	-4.29	17.6	16.6	1.03
Metta World Peace	76	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	7	-18	15.4	20.8	-5.41	17.0	18.7	-1.69
Reggie Miller	46	47	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.33	-11	7	-18	14.5	17.8	-3.29	17.3	17.1	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.52,0.66,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 83, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.57,0.16,0	91.7%
CHI 107, SEA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.24,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.57,0.02,0	91.6%
NOH 100, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.01,0	91.1%