NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	7.9 [246]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +23.1%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.5 [932]		LVP	David West (NOH): -25.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.23	0.16	0.11	0.04	17	71%	0.29	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	9	68%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Mike James	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.05	0.05	5	92%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.07	-0.17	0.02	21	40%	-0.18	1	-0.07	6	50%	-0.12

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	33%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	-0.02	20	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Nate Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.13	0.01	11	71%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	22%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	9	20%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	27.4	17.6	26.2	2.3	27.6	126.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +40.3%

NYK -8.2%

NOH +16.9%

NOH +0.3%

NOH +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NYK	NBA	NOH	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.4	111.1	98.9	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		109.6	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.8	16.6	15.8	18.0	16.6
NYK	15.5	13.4	18.5	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	70	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-4	20	16.4	17.0	-0.64	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Morris Peterson	52	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-5	22	14.7	19.2	-4.50	15.6	15.6	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	66	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	1	10	15.5	19.6	-4.13	16.1	14.2	1.93
Chris Paul	68	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	4	4	15.5	20.0	-4.50	15.9	14.8	1.06
David West	74	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	8	-4	16.2	18.1	-1.91	16.1	13.9	2.17
Mike James	24	25	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	5	2	20.0	15.3	4.64	14.8	15.9	-1.14
Ryan Bowen	22	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	8	-4	20.0	15.5	4.50	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Rasual Butler	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	10	-8	18.4	16.2	2.14	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Melvin Ely	25	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	13	-14	16.9	16.4	0.50	15.4	15.7	-0.28
Jannero Pargo	36	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	20	-28	19.1	14.9	4.26	15.7	15.6	0.08

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	36	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-11	10	16.8	14.8	1.99	16.8	16.4	0.34
Mardy Collins	18	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-7	2	15.3	15.7	-0.43	16.1	16.7	-0.56
Quentin Richardson	33	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-8	4	16.5	15.1	1.38	15.7	17.1	-1.37
Randolph Morris	15	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-8	4	16.4	15.5	0.94	18.7	16.1	2.59
Malik Rose	31	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-10	8	15.3	15.8	-0.50	17.3	16.1	1.18
Wilson Chandler	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-5	-2	15.6	15.6	-0.01	18.4	15.3	3.06
Eddy Curry	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	15.5	15.9	-0.35	15.6	19.0	-3.44
Nate Robinson	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-9	6	15.3	15.9	-0.57	16.7	16.4	0.38
David Lee	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	15.8	15.3	0.50	16.1	17.3	-1.18
Jared Jeffries	38	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	1	-14	14.3	16.6	-2.36	16.4	16.7	-0.30
Jamal Crawford	72	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-6	0	15.5	16.0	-0.47	16.4	17.2	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 115, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.14,0,0	92.6%
DET 95, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.02,0	92.4%
MIA 76, HOU 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.09,0	92.3%