NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	107		Excitement	8.0 [264]		MVP	Nick Collison (SEA): +21.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	2.5 [558]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -28.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.19,0.19	0.03	0.16	-0.00	12	52%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.07
P.J. Brown	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	8	78%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Chris Duhon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.02	0.00	7	89%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	16	54%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Luol Deng	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	13	69%	0.24	4	-0.15	13	69%	-0.03
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	57%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.12	0.01	17	35%	-0.15	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.13	0.02	10	69%	0.24	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	9	67%	0.17	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	17	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	83%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	0.03	-0.14	0.01	28	45%	-0.09	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	10	25%	-0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.5	32.2	16.8	27.0	1.8	40.0	147.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.4%

CHI +18.6%

CHI +3.9%

SEA -1.6%

SEA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	12.9	15.2	15.4	103.9	99.0	104.5
season	14.5	15.4		103.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		108.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.3	14.8	12.4	12.4	12.9
SEA	15.4	15.2	13.3	17.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	81	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-4	14	12.1	16.0	-3.83	15.3	14.8	0.44
Luol Deng	88	87	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-4	14	12.3	16.5	-4.13	15.4	13.7	1.76
P.J. Brown	67	67	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.22	13	-7	20	11.9	14.9	-2.95	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Chris Duhon	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	1	4	13.2	12.7	0.43	16.5	13.8	2.73
Andres Nocioni	57	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.35	-6	12	-18	14.2	11.4	2.72	15.5	14.8	0.62
Ben Gordon	74	74	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	9	-12	13.7	11.0	2.65	14.1	17.9	-3.81
Ben Wallace	52	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	0	6	12.6	13.3	-0.74	14.6	15.7	-1.18
Tyrus Thomas	23	25	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	4	-2	13.4	12.8	0.63	16.7	14.7	2.00
Malik Allen	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	9	-12	14.0	12.9	1.14	13.2	15.3	-2.08
Adrian Griffin	15	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	16.5	12.3	4.13	13.7	15.4	-1.76

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	41	41	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.11	10	-16	26	14.5	15.6	-1.05	14.7	11.8	2.89
Damien Wilkins	79	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-11	16	15.2	15.1	0.05	13.5	11.0	2.50
Chris Wilcox	42	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	5	-16	14.4	15.7	-1.30	11.8	13.8	-1.96
Mickael Gelabale	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	5	-16	15.5	15.0	0.41	12.0	13.4	-1.41
Luke Ridnour	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-7	8	16.0	14.3	1.71	13.8	12.1	1.67
Andre Brown	11	10	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	2	-10	15.6	15.1	0.53	11.3	13.1	-1.82
Nick Collison	89	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	15.4	13.8	1.60	13.0	12.6	0.43
Earl Watson	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	1	-8	15.0	15.7	-0.65	12.2	15.1	-2.91
Ray Allen	90	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-1	-4	15.1	15.7	-0.57	12.8	13.8	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.24,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.57,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 78, IND 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.52,0.66,0.16,0	91.6%
CHH 83, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.57,0.16,0	90.8%
DAL 105, WAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.6,0.45,0.46,0.33,0.09,0	90.6%