NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	82		Excitement	5.6 [680]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): +5.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	2.7 [688]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -20.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02
Gary Payton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.03	13	67%	0.12	5	-0.12	10	90%	0.01
Ime Udoka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Kareem Rush	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Slava Medvedenko	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	14	37%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Devean George	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	12	31%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	12	30%	-0.15	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	8	61%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	15	55%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	12	25%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.4	28.4	17.4	24.3	1.8	29.2	132.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +54.0%

LAL -6.5%

LAL -8.6%

MEM +9.4%

MEM +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.7	88.2	94.6	100.5
season	15.4	15.3		102.8	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.5	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	15.7	16.3	16.6	16.3
MEM	13.4	15.6	14.3	15.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-2	-2	16.9	16.2	0.64	16.2	14.5	1.74
Kareem Rush	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-11	16	16.5	15.9	0.55	14.8	14.3	0.45
Luke Walton	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-9	12	15.0	17.1	-2.06	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Devean George	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	1	-8	16.8	15.2	1.66	15.2	13.3	1.96
Brian Cook	62	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	16.2	16.5	-0.31	14.3	15.3	-0.95
Bryon Russell	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-7	8	16.1	16.5	-0.32	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Derek Fisher	43	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	16.6	16.1	0.54	14.0	15.2	-1.13
Gary Payton	80	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-3	0	15.7	20.3	-4.65	14.8	13.4	1.42
Slava Medvedenko	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	10	-26	17.1	14.6	2.46	14.7	14.6	0.10

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	42	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	0	6	14.1	15.1	-1.02	17.1	15.6	1.54
James Posey	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	2	2	14.5	14.8	-0.29	17.1	15.1	2.05
Lorenzen Wright	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	-1	8	14.7	14.6	0.18	17.6	15.0	2.64
Bo Outlaw	28	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	3	0	14.7	14.6	0.03	17.4	15.9	1.50
Earl Watson	28	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	3	0	14.7	14.6	0.03	17.4	15.9	1.50
Pau Gasol	65	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	3	0	14.6	14.7	-0.03	15.9	17.4	-1.50
Jason Williams	65	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	3	0	14.6	14.7	-0.03	15.9	17.4	-1.50
Shane Battier	48	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	9	-12	14.7	14.6	0.02	14.9	17.7	-2.78
Stromile Swift	34	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	2	2	14.7	14.6	0.08	15.1	17.0	-1.92
Mike Miller	51	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	6	-6	15.1	14.1	1.02	15.6	17.1	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 79, BKN 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DEN 82, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DEN 99, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%