NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	10.7 [28]		MVP	Howard Eisley (PHX): +8.5%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	3.8 [426]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -46.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Stepania	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Wesley Person	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	20	51%	0.10	6	-0.22	9	100%	0.07
Derek Anderson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	9	45%	-0.11	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	7	50%	-0.07	3	-0.15	2	0%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	-0.47	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.1,-0.22,-0.47	0.00	-0.47	-0.00	17	51%	-0.41	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	3	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	3	33%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	3	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	21	54%	0.09	3	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	14	50%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.05	-0.23	0.00	12	65%	0.08	7	-0.37	7	86%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.13,-0.44	-0.44	-0.04	-0.38	0.02	21	50%	-0.15	4	-0.29	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.6	31.3	15.8	25.3	0.8	39.4	143.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.1%

POR -4.1%

PHX +35.5%

POR -22.8%

POR -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	15.7	94.8	99.0	100.5
season	17.1	14.6		101.5	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.6	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.8	15.4	15.6	15.1	15.9
PHX	13.5	14.6	13.8	13.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	22	24	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-10	16	15.5	16.1	-0.64	16.2	12.9	3.22
Qyntel Woods	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	17.3	15.6	1.77	14.8	13.4	1.36
Derek Anderson	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	0	-4	15.2	16.7	-1.46	13.0	14.6	-1.61
Dale Davis	54	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	1	-6	16.8	14.8	2.00	13.1	14.5	-1.35
Zach Randolph	83	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-3	2	16.2	14.6	1.53	13.5	15.9	-2.44
Ruben Patterson	53	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-2	0	15.5	16.5	-1.05	14.9	12.4	2.55
Damon Stoudamire	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-3	2	15.6	17.3	-1.77	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Wesley Person	49	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-4	4	16.3	15.5	0.81	14.1	13.4	0.64
Rasheed Wallace	78	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.36	-10	6	-16	15.8	16.7	-0.91	13.2	15.5	-2.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-3	10	12.8	16.9	-4.04	16.1	15.2	0.91
Shawn Marion	90	90	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	0	4	13.7	14.7	-1.05	16.3	11.9	4.41
Casey Jacobsen	45	45	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-2	8	12.7	14.6	-1.88	15.0	16.7	-1.73
Jahidi White	38	35	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.50	0	4	-4	14.4	13.3	1.03	13.9	17.1	-3.14
Joe Johnson	68	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-2	8	14.0	13.0	1.01	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Jake Voskuhl	47	50	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.13	7	-3	10	13.3	14.1	-0.82	18.2	13.6	4.61
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	73	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	1	2	13.5	14.4	-0.93	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Zarko Cabarkapa	9	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	6	-8	17.6	13.4	4.20	18.1	15.8	2.37
Tom Gugliotta	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	13.4	13.8	-0.37	12.5	16.4	-3.94
Howard Eisley	30	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	16.5	12.5	4.04	16.0	15.9	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.54,0.38,0.61,0.22,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	91.6%
WAS 112, MIA 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.34,0.58,1	91.1%
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	90.7%