NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	7.1 [386]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +11.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	3.7 [644]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (LAC): -29.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	20	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	16	81%	0.04
Marko Jaric	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.08
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	9	39%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	13%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	20	38%	-0.10	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29	-0.11	-0.22	-0.03	7	25%	-0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	9	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	16	54%	0.10	3	-0.10	5	40%	-0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	19	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	9	46%	-0.07	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	28.2	16.4	27.0	1.8	35.0	136.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +68.8%

LAC -10.1%

LAC -25.3%

LAL +11.8%

LAL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.7	95.7	100.0	100.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.3	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	15.2	15.8	14.8	15.0
LAL	18.6	14.8	16.3	15.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	61	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.49	14	-16	30	14.7	15.5	-0.83	17.9	13.2	4.71
Elton Brand	79	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.44	8	-10	18	14.9	15.4	-0.43	16.3	16.3	-0.00
Keyon Dooling	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	2	-6	14.1	15.5	-1.36	14.3	17.5	-3.25
Eddie House	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.48	6	-8	14	14.7	15.8	-1.08	16.1	17.0	-0.87
Doug Overton	37	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	9	-20	16.0	14.3	1.63	16.0	16.5	-0.49
Chris Kaman	71	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	6	-14	14.5	16.5	-1.92	16.7	15.3	1.39
Predrag Drobnjak	26	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	10	-22	17.2	14.1	3.00	16.4	16.3	0.15
Corey Maggette	89	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.47	-3	1	-4	15.1	12.0	3.12	16.0	23.0	-6.98

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	74	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	-1	4	16.5	15.4	1.13	15.3	13.4	1.95
Bryon Russell	34	35	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	0	2	15.6	16.8	-1.18	15.6	14.6	0.93
Slava Medvedenko	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	-3	8	16.3	16.6	-0.28	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Derek Fisher	48	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	15.7	17.0	-1.23	15.3	14.7	0.63
Jamal Sampson	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-11	24	17.2	14.8	2.34	15.4	14.2	1.16
Devean George	64	66	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	6	-10	16.6	15.8	0.78	14.5	16.1	-1.58
Brian Cook	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	4	-6	15.4	16.9	-1.46	15.4	14.8	0.61
Kareem Rush	60	60	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	3	-4	16.5	15.9	0.60	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Luke Walton	6	6	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	10	-18	15.8	16.4	-0.53	12.3	15.2	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.78,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	92.4%
BOS 84, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.4%
MEM 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.3%