NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	80		Excitement	5.0 [815]		MVP	Raul Lopez (UTA): +8.1%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	1.0 [1227]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -6.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	14	42%	-0.03	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	16	56%	0.06	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.06	-0.04	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	12	63%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	82%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	11	40%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.6	30.2	15.0	21.5	1.0	26.0	118.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.0%

UTA +5.7%

UTA +9.1%

GSW -9.3%

GSW -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	16.7	15.7	88.9	111.5	100.5
season	16.1	17.2		100.8	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		100.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.9	15.0	15.6	16.0	15.8
UTA	19.3	14.4	16.4	17.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	63	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-19	21	15.1	17.4	-2.32	16.1	18.5	-2.44
Speedy Claxton	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-17	17	15.3	17.2	-1.93	16.1	18.6	-2.55
Clifford Robinson	79	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-8	-1	15.9	14.9	1.04	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Jason Richardson	56	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-4	-9	15.7	16.1	-0.38	17.3	15.9	1.37
Calbert Cheaney	39	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	15.5	16.0	-0.50	15.7	17.7	-1.99
Nick Van Exel	58	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-3	-11	16.6	14.5	2.10	17.3	15.8	1.48
Mike Dunleavy	51	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	0	-17	16.5	15.0	1.45	17.2	16.1	1.09
Erick Dampier	40	38	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.16	-23	6	-29	16.1	15.6	0.59	18.0	15.8	2.20

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	52	53	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.16	24	-7	31	17.4	15.8	1.61	16.3	15.1	1.21
Michael Ruffin	32	35	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.16	21	-4	25	17.9	16.1	1.85	16.8	15.2	1.60
DeShawn Stevenson	54	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-3	23	17.0	16.4	0.60	16.5	14.6	1.91
Andrei Kirilenko	72	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	2	13	17.2	14.3	2.90	16.4	13.1	3.23
Jarron Collins	46	44	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	11	-5	15.6	18.0	-2.35	14.5	17.1	-2.68
Sasha Pavlovic	41	40	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	13	-9	16.2	17.2	-1.07	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Greg Ostertag	45	50	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	12	-7	18.2	15.1	3.13	16.6	14.9	1.66
Raja Bell	45	46	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	16	-15	16.1	17.4	-1.25	15.5	16.2	-0.75
Raul Lopez	36	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	24	-31	15.4	17.7	-2.25	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Paul Grant	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	21	-25	13.5	17.3	-3.75	13.0	16.3	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.79,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
BOS 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
TOR 97, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%