NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	4.7 [870]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +14.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1097]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -14.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	60%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
Derek Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	71%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Steve Kerr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	21	50%	0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Erick Barkley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	8	35%	-0.11	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.01	6	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	24	52%	0.09	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	64%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	-0.08	23	47%	0.03	3	-0.07	16	56%	-0.02
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.7	30.8	19.7	35.8	2.8	32.6	149.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.3%

POR -2.3%

LAL +11.1%

LAL +0.1%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	89.7	103.2	102.3
season	16.0	15.3		105.0	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.9	14.0	16.4	13.6	15.2
LAL	13.1	15.5	14.2	16.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	12.5	15.3	-2.77	17.5	14.7	2.78
Rasheed Wallace	81	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-9	7	15.4	14.2	1.23	14.8	14.4	0.41
Derek Anderson	51	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-10	9	15.8	14.5	1.32	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Steve Kerr	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-9	7	15.2	15.2	0.04	15.4	14.6	0.81
Erick Barkley	20	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-8	5	11.8	16.1	-4.24	14.8	14.8	0.01
Dale Davis	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	16.4	13.8	2.56	15.0	14.5	0.53
Bonzi Wells	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	15.4	15.1	0.37	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Damon Stoudamire	86	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	15.3	14.2	1.17	15.0	13.2	1.76
Shawn Kemp	47	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	14.8	15.6	-0.83	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	13	11	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	11.9	15.7	-3.80	15.9	14.6	1.28
Scottie Pippen	65	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	5	-21	15.3	15.1	0.23	14.8	14.8	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	31	33	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	0	11	13.5	15.4	-1.87	15.6	15.0	0.64
Mitch Richmond	37	40	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	1	9	13.9	15.3	-1.36	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Shaquille O'Neal	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	1	9	14.9	14.3	0.53	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Kobe Bryant	85	86	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	7	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.81	15.3	14.3	1.06
Rick Fox	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	2	7	15.3	13.7	1.62	15.3	15.1	0.17
Robert Horry	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	6	-1	15.1	14.3	0.77	14.4	16.4	-2.04
Samaki Walker	28	30	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	4	3	13.6	15.3	-1.66	18.4	13.8	4.56
Slava Medvedenko	23	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	10	-9	14.8	14.8	0.00	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Lindsey Hunter	64	64	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	11	-11	15.4	13.5	1.87	15.0	15.6	-0.64
Devean George	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	17.5	14.7	2.78	13.0	15.2	-2.24
Jelani McCoy	2	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	12	-13	19.0	14.7	4.31	11.0	15.4	-4.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 80, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.79,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
BOS 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DAL 83, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%