NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	4.4 [927]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +7.3%
Miami Heat	65		Comeback	1.4 [394]		LVP	Lamar Odom (MIA): -15.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Jamison Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	16	51%	0.00	2	-0.05	11	73%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	13	44%	-0.00	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	10	20%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	-0.04	14	31%	-0.11	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	28.1	15.6	24.3	2.5	36.2	134.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.8%

IND +8.4%

IND +3.9%

MIA -7.1%

IND +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	15.7	98.9	73.0	100.5
season	16.7	16.2		101.1	99.3
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.8	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	15.9	18.9	16.1	16.7
MIA	14.4	14.8	18.0	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	4	14	16.9	15.7	1.16	15.1	20.2	-5.04
Jermaine O'Neal	64	64	0.35	0.14	0.21	-0.06	14	8	6	17.6	14.5	3.14	16.4	14.3	2.13
Jeff Foster	40	41	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	12	-2	16.7	16.8	-0.07	16.0	15.7	0.31
Fred Jones	44	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	5	12	16.4	17.1	-0.75	15.7	15.9	-0.15
Jamaal Tinsley	57	59	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	10	2	16.9	16.4	0.49	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Jamison Brewer	31	30	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	12	-2	16.4	16.9	-0.49	17.0	15.2	1.85
Reggie Miller	38	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	15	-8	16.7	16.8	-0.14	15.1	16.4	-1.32
Al Harrington	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	10	2	17.1	16.2	0.89	16.0	15.5	0.45
Austin Croshere	30	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	16	-10	15.5	17.4	-1.88	17.1	15.1	2.03
James Jones	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	10.2	17.0	-6.80	13.6	15.9	-2.34

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	13.6	15.9	-2.34	10.2	17.0	-6.80
Bimbo Coles	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-17	12	17.2	15.3	1.92	15.0	17.3	-2.29
Malik Allen	28	26	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.22	-10	-12	2	15.5	16.0	-0.45	15.6	17.2	-1.65
Rasual Butler	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-15	8	15.6	15.9	-0.34	16.1	17.2	-1.08
Brian Grant	58	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-12	2	15.6	16.3	-0.74	17.2	15.9	1.36
Samaki Walker	26	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-14	6	16.8	15.4	1.41	16.7	16.8	-0.09
Caron Butler	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-7	-8	16.0	15.4	0.61	16.1	18.0	-1.90
Eddie Jones	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-9	-4	15.6	16.6	-1.02	17.6	13.6	4.03
Rafer Alston	65	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	-5	-12	15.3	17.2	-1.92	17.3	15.0	2.29
Lamar Odom	74	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.03	-21	-1	-20	16.1	14.5	1.61	17.1	14.6	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 105, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
BKN 114, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.6%
DAL 104, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.18,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%