inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 88 Excitement5.2 [772] MVPCarlos Arroyo (UTA): +16.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 100 Comeback2.2 [787] LVPDeShawn Stevenson (UTA): -16.2%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo0.170,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.130.050.011771%0.202-0.031100%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00856%0.0400.002100%0.01
Greg Ostertag0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00375%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Paul Grant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mo Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03150%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.001264%0.084-0.121100%0.01
Raja Bell-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.05-0.011246%-0.062-0.022100%0.00
Raul Lopez-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02329%-0.033-0.0510%-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko-0.090,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.031239%-0.032-0.06475%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.14-0.04-0.02714%-0.083-0.0900%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.010.04-0.06662%0.082-0.004100%0.03
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.050.04-0.061657%0.125-0.06580%0.01
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00669%0.061-0.02475%-0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00280%0.0200.001100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.011348%0.0200.001100%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.04933%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.051436%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01470%0.043-0.072100%0.01
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.030.021250%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.01.831.015.725.52.427.5125.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +19.9%
MEM +10.9%
UTA -3.4%
MEM +24.1%
UTA -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMEMNBAUTAMEMNBA
this game17.015.115.796.7113.6100.5
season17.215.399.4102.3
opponent15.715.2100.5100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA15.818.718.015.817.0
MEM13.616.413.317.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams45-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-15187.717.4-9.6821.414.86.63
Paul Grant1011-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-141616.517.1-0.5616.015.00.97
Raul Lopez2929-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-10816.917.0-0.1516.614.42.15
Greg Ostertag7066-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-7217.116.80.2515.314.60.68
Andrei Kirilenko7068-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-9617.415.81.6114.816.4-1.62
DeShawn Stevenson4342-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-8416.117.8-1.7213.816.4-2.61
Jarron Collins1516-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-6014.617.5-2.8715.815.00.81
Raja Bell4441-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-1-1018.715.43.3415.814.61.18
Matt Harpring6562-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.06-8-4-417.116.70.3815.414.70.70
Carlos Arroyo6259-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-2-817.016.90.1514.416.6-2.15
Sasha Pavlovic4341-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.03-164-2017.116.90.1814.715.6-0.87

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bonzi Wells57590.480.020.46-0.0819-72614.715.9-1.1718.114.93.18
Bo Outlaw43460.430.070.370.0513-11415.814.51.2617.616.41.14
Earl Watson50520.380.120.270.0013-11416.213.82.3417.316.50.81
James Posey59620.270.230.040.1839-615.913.62.3316.518.0-1.47
Lorenzen Wright59610.270.230.040.1839-615.913.62.3316.418.2-1.84
Stromile Swift29300.230.27-0.04-0.0393613.615.9-2.3318.216.41.84
Shane Battier29290.230.27-0.04-0.0393613.615.9-2.3318.016.51.47
Jason Williams38390.120.38-0.270.15-113-1413.816.2-2.3416.517.3-0.81
Pau Gasol45450.070.43-0.370.10-113-1414.515.8-1.2616.417.6-1.14
Mike Miller27290.020.48-0.460.14-416-2014.315.5-1.1716.017.5-1.42
Dahntay Jones430.000.50-0.500.09-315-1826.514.611.894.317.4-13.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 82, POR 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,194.4%
ATL 98, POR 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%
LAL 90, SAC 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,194.2%