NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	73		Excitement	1.8 [1266]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NYK): +9.3%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.2 [1051]		LVP	Lamar Odom (MIA): -9.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	6	43%	-0.01	6	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	18	41%	-0.08	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	16	69%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.06	8	81%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	72%	0.05	3	-0.03	15	80%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	64%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.6	32.7	17.4	26.7	1.8	30.4	134.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.3%

NYK +3.3%

NYK +12.2%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.7	84.9	115.9	100.5
season	16.2	15.5		99.3	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.9		100.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.7	17.1	20.3	16.3	17.2
NYK	14.4	15.6	18.6	15.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-31	33	16.8	17.4	-0.64	16.5	15.7	0.82
Malik Allen	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-29	29	17.5	17.2	0.33	10.7	16.2	-5.43
Rafer Alston	30	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-27	25	15.5	18.1	-2.59	17.3	15.2	2.05
Samaki Walker	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-18	7	16.2	17.8	-1.53	17.9	14.8	3.12
Caron Butler	44	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.43	-22	-7	-15	18.5	15.9	2.60	15.3	16.6	-1.22
Rasual Butler	38	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-23	17	16.4	17.8	-1.42	16.5	15.5	1.00
Dwyane Wade	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.33	-24	-5	-19	17.4	16.0	1.44	15.8	16.6	-0.77
Lamar Odom	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.32	-25	-4	-21	17.8	14.1	3.70	16.4	13.6	2.82
Brian Grant	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.32	-25	-4	-21	17.1	17.3	-0.17	14.7	17.7	-3.03
Eddie Jones	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	-32	3	-35	17.3	16.9	0.38	15.0	18.0	-3.03

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	12	5	15.6	17.1	-1.53	16.6	19.0	-2.43
Keith Van Horn	73	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.42	27	2	25	15.7	17.3	-1.61	16.2	21.7	-5.51
Dikembe Mutombo	58	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.25	19	10	9	15.7	16.4	-0.76	17.4	16.8	0.55
Antonio McDyess	43	42	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	23	-17	16.4	15.5	0.95	16.5	17.9	-1.43
Frank Williams	47	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	12	5	16.1	15.8	0.33	18.1	16.3	1.81
Kurt Thomas	35	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.42	23	6	17	15.5	16.2	-0.79	18.3	16.4	1.97
Allan Houston	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	17	-5	16.6	15.5	1.09	19.6	15.4	4.18
Charlie Ward	44	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	13	3	15.6	16.2	-0.59	16.7	17.7	-1.00
Othella Harrington	35	35	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.13	8	21	-13	17.0	15.2	1.77	16.6	17.6	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
SAS 87, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
TOR 90, DEN 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%