NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	2.3 [1268]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +8.8%
Boston Celtics	118		Comeback	1.2 [1141]		LVP	Jonathon Simmons (ORL): -5.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	60%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.05	6	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	13	27%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	0.00	0.11	9	67%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	14	47%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.09	14	43%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.24	0.00	0.16	11	92%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.23	-0.00	0.19	15	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	8	32%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	9	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	13	35%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	7	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.7	25.3	14.7	28.0	0.7	25.3	122.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.0%

ORL -0.5%

ORL -0.6%

BOS +3.0%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	14.7	107.3	121.6	107.5
season	14.6	15.1		104.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		103.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.1	13.8	17.7	14.4	14.9
BOS	13.6	13.9	13.0	19.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-30	45	14.4	15.1	-0.66	19.9	13.5	6.33
Shelvin Mack	28	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.53	18	-33	51	15.6	14.7	0.93	18.6	13.5	5.07
Arron Afflalo	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.49	12	-27	39	15.3	14.7	0.57	17.6	13.2	4.36
Marreese Speights	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-24	33	15.3	14.7	0.61	17.2	13.3	3.88
Terrence Ross	42	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	-3	-9	14.4	15.4	-0.97	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Nikola Vucevic	43	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-4	-7	14.9	15.0	-0.16	14.3	15.3	-0.99
D.J. Augustin	26	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.22	-15	0	-15	16.2	14.5	1.76	12.5	15.9	-3.37
Elfrid Payton	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	0	-15	14.5	15.4	-0.94	14.1	15.7	-1.53
Bismack Biyombo	53	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-11	7	15.0	14.9	0.16	15.3	14.3	0.99
Evan Fournier	39	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.37	-23	8	-31	14.7	15.1	-0.34	12.9	16.4	-3.45
Aaron Gordon	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.41	-26	11	-37	14.5	15.6	-1.16	13.1	17.3	-4.19
Jonathon Simmons	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.31	-23	8	-31	15.2	14.7	0.52	13.4	16.4	-3.01

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	59	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	10	-5	15.6	13.8	1.86	14.7	15.3	-0.65
Marcus Smart	50	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	10	-5	15.1	14.7	0.46	15.1	14.8	0.27
Jaylen Brown	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.28	20	-5	25	13.3	17.3	-3.95	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Semi Ojeleye	57	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	12	-9	14.9	14.9	0.04	14.1	16.0	-1.83
Aron Baynes	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	19	-23	16.6	13.6	3.04	15.0	14.9	0.18
Al Horford	55	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.32	19	-4	23	13.6	16.6	-3.04	14.9	15.0	-0.18
Jayson Tatum	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	2	11	14.2	15.5	-1.29	15.3	14.6	0.73
Kyrie Irving	51	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.30	18	-3	21	14.1	15.8	-1.64	15.3	14.5	0.83
Marcus Morris	49	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	4	7	15.4	14.4	0.99	15.8	13.9	1.91
Abdel Nader	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	15.7	14.8	0.82	12.3	15.1	-2.79
Guerschon Yabusele	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	29	-43	21.5	14.0	7.54	13.8	15.1	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
MIA 73, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
BOS 100, PHX 131	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%