inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 90 Excitement2.2 [1279] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +15.5%
Denver Nuggets 123 Comeback1.2 [1284] LVPReggie Evans (TOR): -9.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amir Johnson0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.033100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Julian Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03779%-0.003-0.0000%0.00
Sonny Weems-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02840%-0.0000.00450%0.00
Ed Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04525%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
James Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02850%0.003-0.0300%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.140.00-0.11628%-0.0340.00683%-0.01
Leandro Barbosa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.120.00-0.091122%-0.031-0.001100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.000.061350%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.12-0.000.151467%-0.011-0.022100%-0.00
Jose Calderon-0.030,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04856%0.005-0.0400%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.00-0.0440%-0.033-0.0600%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.170.000.021085%0.172-0.017100%0.02
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.030.00-0.101148%0.0720.00560%-0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.041160%0.0400.003100%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00-0.04464%0.053-0.03683%0.01
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.07961%0.0100.00580%-0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01450%0.0010.00250%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02337%0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.020.000.051152%-0.011-0.021100%0.00
Nene0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.04-0.010.08978%0.045-0.08580%0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.030.000.031341%-0.041-0.011100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.92.328.315.726.72.028.0128.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +33.2%
DEN +8.1%
DEN +8.5%
DEN +1.6%
TOR -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game14.212.815.584.9115.0105.7
season15.114.3104.7110.7
opponent15.515.5106.1111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.915.014.913.014.2
DEN11.813.811.414.712.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julian Wright2323-0.02-0.480.47-0.196-394510.715.2-4.5515.312.23.09
Alexis Ajinca3636-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-384311.415.7-4.3214.911.83.06
Amir Johnson2423-0.11-0.390.280.10-7-261914.614.10.5312.113.0-0.89
James Johnson5455-0.13-0.370.250.11-8-251713.614.8-1.1612.712.9-0.18
DeMar DeRozan4746-0.21-0.290.070.17-13-20714.214.20.0311.513.8-2.34
Jose Calderon5352-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-241514.214.20.0212.113.5-1.39
Reggie Evans4043-0.27-0.23-0.040.40-23-10-1316.612.83.7911.713.6-1.86
Jerryd Bayless5355-0.28-0.22-0.050.43-24-9-1514.214.2-0.0213.512.11.39
Andrea Bargnani6564-0.29-0.21-0.080.47-26-7-1914.913.11.7511.914.2-2.23
Ed Davis4748-0.31-0.19-0.120.13-15-18313.315.0-1.7313.812.01.82
Sonny Weems5354-0.32-0.18-0.130.30-21-12-915.213.21.9413.212.40.79
Leandro Barbosa3536-0.33-0.17-0.150.55-30-3-2715.913.42.5812.513.0-0.46

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith67670.360.140.22-0.432762113.611.62.0114.114.4-0.22
Wilson Chandler61610.350.150.19-0.272112912.413.4-1.0214.513.90.61
Ty Lawson72700.310.190.12-0.131518-312.214.1-1.9513.914.8-0.89
Danilo Gallinari70690.300.200.10-0.111419-512.313.8-1.4113.914.8-0.87
Kenyon Martin62610.280.220.06-0.161518-311.614.5-2.8213.914.6-0.70
Nene54550.250.25-0.00-0.251716111.614.1-2.5814.713.71.02
Chris Andersen29260.240.26-0.02-0.231617-113.412.60.8515.313.81.50
Al Harrington45450.220.28-0.06-0.311815314.511.62.8214.613.90.70
Gary Forbes35360.190.31-0.12-0.341815314.112.21.9514.813.90.89
Timofey Mozgov21210.000.50-0.50-0.12429-2514.012.61.3913.414.4-0.98
Kosta Koufos19190.000.50-0.500.00033-3314.812.42.4412.714.6-1.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 103, BOS 1180.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
CHI 101, CLE 1200.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
SAS 87, ORL 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%