inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 99 Excitement6.3 [545] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +27.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 101 Comeback1.2 [1041] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -16.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.180.030.180.031759%0.232-0.057100%0.22
Chris Andersen0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01283%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Marcus Camby0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00650%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00950%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.011152%0.044-0.09540%-0.02
Rodney White-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.02950%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Jon Barry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.01740%-0.041-0.021100%0.00
Nene-0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.020.021148%-0.041-0.03560%-0.03
Andre Miller-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.16-0.03-0.021237%-0.094-0.08683%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,0.270.27-0.130.38-0.031441%0.364-0.09475%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.03-0.00786%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.02-0.00367%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.001050%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.01-0.00669%0.053-0.06475%-0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.02650%0.033-0.0400%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.021167%0.022-0.051759%-0.07
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13-0.13-0.16-0.00-0.031631%-0.064-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game34.82.629.216.426.22.837.6149.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +76.9%
DEN -37.4%
LAL +7.1%
DEN -1.4%
LAL +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game14.613.315.795.299.0100.5
season14.915.4101.6102.8
opponent15.615.499.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.715.416.714.214.6
LAL12.112.814.014.613.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney White41390.34-0.841.18-0.0112-142613.515.3-1.8215.611.93.65
Nikoloz Tskitishvili2725-0.12-0.380.27-0.06-20-214.414.7-0.2813.113.4-0.34
Jon Barry5048-0.13-0.370.24-0.4210-122213.615.6-1.9914.312.41.89
Andre Miller6263-0.23-0.270.03-0.447-91614.714.40.3114.112.12.08
Earl Boykins4239-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-97-1614.414.7-0.3112.114.1-2.08
Marcus Camby6969-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.22-31-415.413.02.3912.914.2-1.21
Nene6061-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.29-20-214.015.5-1.4912.614.4-1.85
Voshon Lenard5454-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-1210-2215.613.61.9912.414.3-1.89
Carmelo Anthony8382-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.36-42-615.411.63.7513.114.4-1.39
Chris Andersen3230-0.580.08-0.67-0.38-75-1213.715.0-1.3413.813.20.61

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl Malone61630.89-0.391.280.5113-112412.015.3-3.3615.213.71.50
Shaquille O'Neal79810.64-0.140.770.2812-102212.715.7-2.9914.315.9-1.61
Gary Payton75780.63-0.130.760.2513-112412.615.5-2.9214.515.1-0.62
Devean George66680.57-0.070.640.2810-81812.215.4-3.1315.313.32.05
Kobe Bryant62640.260.240.010.37-46-1013.812.61.2515.912.63.28
Derek Fisher49490.180.32-0.140.1802-213.313.4-0.0514.015.2-1.16
Kareem Rush11110.030.47-0.440.0011014.913.11.7712.914.8-1.91
Slava Medvedenko3636-0.060.56-0.620.17-810-1815.412.23.1313.315.3-2.05
Jannero Pargo76-0.100.60-0.710.07-68-1415.013.21.7911.314.8-3.48
Horace Grant2323-0.140.64-0.770.16-1012-2215.712.72.9915.914.31.61
Bryon Russell4141-0.390.89-1.28-0.07-1113-2415.312.03.3613.715.2-1.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 91, SAC 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
ATL 80, DET 910.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,194.2%
MIA 81, IND 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,194.2%