NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	83		Excitement	4.5 [913]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): +7.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	1.3 [994]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -18.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Santiago	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	75%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
T.J. Ford	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.21	-0.02	-0.05	12	19%	-0.12	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.00	15	20%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	7	84%	0.08	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.19	-0.01	-0.09	7	31%	-0.03	7	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	14	31%	-0.10	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	10	10%	-0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.3	30.6	15.7	25.8	2.5	28.4	135.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +18.5%

LAC +19.6%

LAC +15.3%

MIL -4.6%

LAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	15.7	81.4	89.4	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		103.6	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	13.2	17.0	13.7	14.4
LAC	13.0	13.5	13.8	14.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-18	26	10.7	14.9	-4.16	15.3	13.3	2.02
Dan Langhi	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-23	36	12.0	14.9	-2.91	14.8	13.3	1.55
Daniel Santiago	25	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-7	4	15.5	14.1	1.40	14.2	13.3	0.96
Erick Strickland	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.45	11	-21	32	14.5	14.4	0.16	13.9	13.4	0.53
Damon Jones	50	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.46	10	-20	30	13.6	15.2	-1.65	14.2	12.9	1.29
Joe Smith	67	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-8	6	14.6	14.1	0.55	13.4	13.7	-0.28
Michael Redd	56	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	14.1	14.8	-0.70	14.0	13.0	1.06
Tim Thomas	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	1	-12	14.9	13.7	1.18	12.9	14.6	-1.75
T.J. Ford	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.25	-20	10	-30	15.2	13.6	1.65	12.9	14.2	-1.29
Dan Gadzuric	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	4	-18	14.3	14.6	-0.32	12.6	14.6	-2.04
Marcus Haislip	43	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	14.7	14.2	0.52	14.0	13.2	0.72
Desmond Mason	32	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.35	-27	17	-44	15.2	14.0	1.21	12.9	13.8	-0.88

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	66	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-7	24	13.6	13.5	0.03	14.8	13.8	0.96
Corey Maggette	65	62	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-8	26	13.3	14.0	-0.72	15.3	13.0	2.34
Bobby Simmons	65	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-1	12	13.5	13.6	-0.15	13.8	15.5	-1.76
Marko Jaric	77	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-2	14	13.2	14.5	-1.31	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Doug Overton	40	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	5	0	14.0	13.3	0.73	15.2	14.0	1.17
Chris Wilcox	52	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	3	4	13.4	13.7	-0.33	14.9	14.0	0.91
Melvin Ely	20	17	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	8	-6	13.4	13.6	-0.12	12.5	14.8	-2.34
Chris Kaman	60	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	7	-4	13.2	14.0	-0.74	14.6	14.1	0.46
Keyon Dooling	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	19	-28	15.2	13.3	1.84	10.7	14.9	-4.16
Predrag Drobnjak	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	19	-28	16.4	13.2	3.16	11.8	14.7	-2.90
Quentin Richardson	52	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	17	-24	13.7	13.4	0.33	14.5	14.3	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 68, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAS 81, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 75, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%