NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	10.7 [34]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +43.0%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	6.8 [295]		LVP	Antoine Walker (DAL): -39.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.14	-0.09	0.23	-0.00	9	58%	0.31	6	-0.17	6	83%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Travis Best	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	48%	-0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.11	0.02	-0.13	-0.01	14	60%	-0.04	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.10
Josh Howard	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.01	11	36%	-0.12	2	-0.16	3	33%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.28,-0.28	-0.03	-0.25	0.01	28	47%	-0.26	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.39	-0.19	-0.21	-0.01	14	22%	-0.31	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.43	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.00	11	75%	0.50	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.00	0.00	12	81%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	17	44%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	0.00	19	54%	0.18	5	-0.20	8	87%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.6	37.0	18.8	28.2	2.8	42.1	157.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +147.5%

DAL -29.4%

DAL -69.8%

BOS +6.7%

DAL -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	13.7	15.7	103.0	105.0	100.5
season	14.6	14.4		109.2	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		102.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	14.2	16.0	16.7	15.1
BOS	13.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	63	63	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.16	4	-6	10	15.8	13.8	2.06	13.9	13.4	0.59
Marquis Daniels	40	37	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.14	0	-2	2	15.5	14.8	0.66	13.8	13.7	0.19
Travis Best	6	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	0	-2	14.2	15.1	-0.97	16.7	13.5	3.22
Eduardo Najera	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	2	-6	14.4	15.2	-0.84	12.6	13.9	-1.30
Dirk Nowitzki	85	85	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.54	10	-12	22	15.5	12.9	2.53	13.9	12.7	1.24
Steve Nash	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-8	14	15.5	13.7	1.79	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Tony Delk	20	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	6	-14	13.0	15.6	-2.54	11.9	14.1	-2.19
Josh Howard	56	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.62	0	-2	2	15.0	15.2	-0.26	13.8	13.6	0.20
Antoine Walker	77	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.55	-3	1	-4	15.0	15.5	-0.52	13.4	14.7	-1.27
Antawn Jamison	58	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	11	-24	14.2	16.3	-2.16	14.1	13.1	1.00

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	64	64	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-5	12	14.1	13.0	1.17	15.5	14.3	1.21
Paul Pierce	91	90	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-3	8	13.8	12.4	1.40	15.1	15.3	-0.24
Walter McCarty	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.56	0	2	-2	13.7	13.8	-0.05	16.0	13.0	2.92
Mike James	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	2	-2	14.1	12.5	1.56	16.1	11.6	4.47
Jiri Welsch	67	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-3	8	13.2	14.8	-1.64	15.3	14.6	0.69
Marcus Banks	13	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	2	-2	12.7	13.9	-1.18	13.7	15.3	-1.51
Chris Mihm	19	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.12	2	0	2	11.5	14.2	-2.77	15.1	15.1	0.03
Ricky Davis	51	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	6	-10	13.9	13.5	0.45	13.6	16.5	-2.92
Mark Blount	23	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	14.1	13.6	0.48	12.3	16.0	-3.67
Jumaine Jones	23	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	4	-6	14.1	13.6	0.48	14.1	15.4	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.27,1	91.1%
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	91.0%
SAS 74, PHX 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.36,0.43,0.58,1	90.9%