NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	6.5 [504]		MVP	Gordan Giricek (ORL): +27.3%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	16.1 [117]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -16.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.02	-0.04	19	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Stephon Marbury	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	0.08	-0.08	0.03	25	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	12	25%	-0.03	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.13	0.02	6	119%	0.36	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	12	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.06
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	2	78%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.03	-0.03	10	41%	0.05	5	-0.12	2	50%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	17	39%	-0.07	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	19	49%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.6	28.2	16.7	22.5	2.4	32.5	133.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.5%

ORL +15.6%

ORL +0.3%

ORL +2.8%

ORL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	17.7	13.7	15.7	106.5	115.4	100.5
season	14.6	15.7		99.6	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.9		108.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.7	20.9	17.6	16.9	17.7
ORL	14.9	11.8	12.4	15.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	34	33	0.37	-0.87	1.23	-0.07	15	-22	37	17.7	17.7	-0.04	15.6	12.7	2.90
Jahidi White	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-7	7	16.7	18.0	-1.25	10.0	14.6	-4.58
Leandro Barbosa	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-3	-1	16.0	17.8	-1.83	8.2	14.0	-5.85
Casey Jacobsen	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-1	-5	16.1	18.3	-2.13	12.7	14.1	-1.32
Scott Williams	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	2	-11	19.0	16.9	2.09	12.3	14.7	-2.39
Anfernee Hardaway	77	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-11	15	18.2	15.5	2.62	13.9	12.6	1.35
Jake Voskuhl	38	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-9	11	17.3	18.0	-0.75	17.1	11.4	5.61
Stephon Marbury	88	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-4	1	17.8	15.2	2.59	13.9	7.3	6.61
Shawn Marion	88	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	17.7	18.0	-0.28	13.7	14.6	-0.93
Joe Johnson	54	54	-1.05	0.55	-1.61	-0.20	-29	22	-51	17.6	17.9	-0.33	12.8	15.1	-2.28

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	46	46	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.27	12	-5	17	14.1	13.3	0.78	16.3	19.2	-2.89
Juwan Howard	59	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	3	1	14.0	13.2	0.78	18.8	15.9	2.83
Gordan Giricek	60	60	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	6	-5	14.2	12.8	1.34	17.8	17.5	0.30
Tyronn Lue	63	62	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.41	0	7	-7	13.5	14.1	-0.60	17.5	18.1	-0.55
Donnell Harvey	37	38	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.12	13	-6	19	12.9	14.3	-1.36	17.6	17.8	-0.25
Tracy McGrady	84	84	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.24	1	6	-5	13.8	13.1	0.63	17.9	16.4	1.48
Shammond Williams	28	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	0	7	14.1	13.5	0.60	17.7	17.7	-0.03
Drew Gooden	69	71	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.17	5	2	3	12.6	17.3	-4.74	17.8	17.4	0.39
Keith Bogans	1	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	8	-9	12.0	13.7	-1.74	12.0	17.9	-5.86
Andrew DeClercq	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	14	-21	19.4	13.2	6.19	19.1	17.6	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.71,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 114, IND 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.96,0.96,1	91.3%
LAC 91, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.83,0.84,1	90.5%
SAC 104, SAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.55,0.53,0.89,0.89,1,1	89.6%