NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	96		Excitement	7.6 [287]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +21.5%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	3.2 [261]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -48.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.21	0.10	0.14	0.02	13	66%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.00	0.10	-0.03	13	54%	0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.03	-0.07	0.10	-0.00	7	27%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	13	50%	-0.13	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.06
Mike Miller	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.27	-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	7	35%	-0.17	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	1	87%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.07
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	9	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.05
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	65%	0.06	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	9	22%	-0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	11	29%	-0.12	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.39,-0.49	-0.49	-0.14	-0.35	-0.01	10	42%	-0.12	5	-0.37	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	499.7	2.3	28.9	14.8	31.4	2.4	36.6	616.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +44.8%

NJN -28.6%

NJN -13.8%

MEM +47.6%

MEM +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NJN	NBA	MEM	NJN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	15.7	104.3	102.2	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		102.3	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.7		95.2	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.9	15.9	15.4	16.1	16.6
NJN	20.1	12.9	15.9	12.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	80	78	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.62	9	-6	15	17.2	12.5	4.74	14.1	19.4	-5.29
Stromile Swift	26	26	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-2	7	12.6	18.2	-5.64	14.3	15.1	-0.75
Bo Outlaw	37	38	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-10	23	13.5	18.7	-5.24	18.1	12.5	5.60
Dahntay Jones	29	29	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-6	15	12.4	18.6	-6.19	19.0	12.9	6.05
Pau Gasol	63	61	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	11	-19	18.6	12.4	6.19	12.8	19.1	-6.35
Mike Miller	73	72	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.36	-9	12	-21	17.5	13.1	4.50	14.2	17.4	-3.19
Shane Battier	40	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	-5	13	14.7	18.1	-3.44	18.2	12.0	6.21
James Posey	54	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	11	-19	18.2	14.4	3.75	11.9	18.8	-6.87
Lorenzen Wright	58	57	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	7	-11	18.3	13.7	4.58	15.2	14.3	0.83

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	57	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.37	11	-14	25	13.2	17.6	-4.33	18.5	13.6	4.83
Jason Collins	50	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-7	11	12.6	17.5	-4.90	18.8	13.8	4.94
Kerry Kittles	73	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.36	9	-12	21	14.2	17.4	-3.24	17.0	15.2	1.81
Jason Kidd	65	66	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-11	19	13.0	19.5	-6.46	18.3	12.3	6.06
Kenyon Martin	57	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-9	15	14.6	15.2	-0.57	18.2	13.9	4.34
Aaron Williams	40	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	3	-9	18.0	12.4	5.58	14.5	18.1	-3.57
Brian Scalabrine	33	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	6	-15	15.7	14.4	1.29	14.3	17.9	-3.61
Lucious Harris	27	27	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	8	-19	18.7	13.2	5.54	11.8	18.6	-6.80
Robert Pack	18	18	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	9	-21	17.4	14.2	3.24	15.2	17.0	-1.81
Rodney Rogers	35	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	12	-27	17.1	13.5	3.59	12.9	19.1	-6.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.69,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.33,0.26,0	91.1%
DAL 102, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.46,0.45,0.09,0	91.1%
GSW 114, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.16,0	90.8%