NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	7.6 [286]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +25.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	90		Comeback	2.2 [716]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): -18.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.10	-0.01	16	74%	0.37	2	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	15	54%	0.04	3	-0.14	7	71%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	10	35%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	13	38%	-0.12	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.15	0.00	18	61%	0.25	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	6	93%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.02	18	61%	0.22	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	9	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.11
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	30%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	7	12%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	26.6	16.8	22.5	2.4	31.7	125.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.1%

NYK -5.8%

MIL +30.1%

MIL +10.9%

NYK -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.7	97.8	100.0	100.5
season	15.5	15.3		98.6	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.0	17.0	16.2	15.9	15.7
MIL	14.8	17.2	18.0	16.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Williams	21	21	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-13	23	17.0	15.3	1.75	17.2	16.2	1.01
Michael Doleac	16	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-5	7	16.9	15.5	1.42	17.5	16.3	1.28
Michael Sweetney	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-5	7	20.5	15.6	4.90	19.5	16.4	3.10
Othella Harrington	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	16.3	15.3	1.00	15.9	16.8	-0.99
Dikembe Mutombo	41	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	4	-11	15.2	16.1	-0.95	16.6	16.4	0.24
Keith Van Horn	74	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-8	13	15.5	16.9	-1.39	16.6	15.9	0.72
Howard Eisley	25	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	4	-11	15.6	15.7	-0.09	15.7	16.8	-1.03
Charlie Ward	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	1	-5	15.2	16.4	-1.24	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Shandon Anderson	39	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	15.6	15.8	-0.12	16.8	16.2	0.58
Kurt Thomas	70	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	15.3	17.1	-1.78	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Allan Houston	72	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	7	-17	16.0	14.6	1.38	16.4	16.8	-0.39

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	73	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.47	-1	4	-5	16.6	16.0	0.58	15.4	16.8	-1.41
Toni Kukoc	37	36	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.44	-1	4	-5	16.9	16.1	0.81	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Michael Redd	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	-1	5	16.1	17.4	-1.29	16.0	14.9	1.10
Joe Smith	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	-1	5	16.6	16.2	0.38	15.9	15.2	0.70
Dan Gadzuric	33	35	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	-5	13	17.4	15.9	1.46	16.6	15.1	1.52
Desmond Mason	48	46	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	2	-1	16.1	16.8	-0.69	16.2	15.2	1.01
T.J. Ford	62	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	3	-3	16.4	16.7	-0.31	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Damon Jones	28	28	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	0	3	16.7	16.4	0.31	16.2	15.5	0.69
Daniel Santiago	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	2	-1	15.8	16.8	-1.00	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Marcus Haislip	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	7	-11	16.1	16.5	-0.38	14.2	16.0	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.9,0.72,0.84,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	93.3%
OKC 96, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.98,1	92.2%
CHA 93, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.72,1	92.2%