NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	77		Excitement	5.8 [620]		MVP	Baron Davis (NOH): +13.8%
New Orleans Hornets	92		Comeback	3.0 [699]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (ATL): -19.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.01	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	45%	0.02	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	10	38%	-0.01	4	-0.11	6	67%	0.01
Dion Glover	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	16	47%	0.01	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	12	25%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	13	75%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.03	-0.08	9	22%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	10	68%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Robert Pack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	7	29%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	15	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	27.0	16.0	22.2	1.7	25.1	116.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -7.1%

NOH +10.6%

ATL -1.3%

NOH +44.6%

NOH +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOH	NBA	ATL	NOH	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.5	77.8	92.9	101.6
season	15.1	15.9		99.5	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	14.9	14.4	14.6	14.7
NOH	14.3	13.9	13.8	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-14	13	14.6	15.0	-0.32	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Mikki Moore	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-8	1	11.1	15.2	-4.09	14.9	14.3	0.63
Dan Dickau	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-12	9	14.5	14.9	-0.40	14.9	14.1	0.83
Alan Henderson	52	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-15	15	15.8	13.5	2.36	15.0	13.7	1.37
Dion Glover	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-9	3	15.0	14.1	0.95	14.8	13.4	1.33
Darvin Ham	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-9	3	15.2	14.4	0.77	14.4	14.3	0.10
Ira Newble	67	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-4	-7	14.3	15.5	-1.19	14.6	13.8	0.81
Jermaine Jackson	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	14.1	15.0	-0.95	13.4	14.8	-1.33
Jason Terry	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-3	-9	14.9	14.5	0.40	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Theo Ratliff	52	54	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.10	-20	5	-25	14.6	14.8	-0.20	13.4	15.5	-2.06

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Alexander	31	31	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.10	19	-4	23	14.6	14.2	0.36	15.4	14.4	0.91
Jamal Mashburn	68	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	-1	17	13.7	15.9	-2.24	14.7	14.7	0.07
Robert Traylor	45	46	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	3	9	14.6	14.2	0.35	15.2	14.4	0.79
George Lynch	45	45	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	4	7	14.2	14.5	-0.34	14.5	14.9	-0.48
Baron Davis	51	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	2	11	13.8	14.9	-1.07	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Jerome Moiso	24	24	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	6	3	15.4	14.0	1.39	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Kenny Anderson	38	39	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	6	3	15.0	14.0	0.99	15.5	14.2	1.34
Jamaal Magloire	54	53	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	12	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.35	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Stacey Augmon	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	15	-15	14.5	14.3	0.16	16.6	14.4	2.26
P.J. Brown	64	63	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	18	-21	14.5	14.0	0.52	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Robert Pack	4	3	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	23	-31	18.2	14.2	4.05	16.3	14.7	1.66
David Wesley	55	56	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	21	-27	14.3	14.4	-0.12	13.8	16.0	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.96,1,1,1	93.1%
MIN 114, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.6%
MEM 86, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	92.3%